BREAKING LA-GOV 2019: Ralph Abraham IN

[lfromnj]

Alabama_Indy who is your endorsement for LA gov?

[lfromnj]

Prediction for the trajectory of this race: JBE will have huge leads in the early polls, leading Atlas to pronounce the race safe D. Then Abraham will close the gap after raising his name recognition and Trump doing rallies for him. Half of Atlas will panic, the other half will pretend nothing is happening and that the race is still safe D. The end result will be within 5 points either way.

Basically WV-Sen 2018 redux.

To be fair to Atlas, the lack of polling in WV-SEN 2018 means they basically had to go with their gut.

Also the one high quality pollster Monmouth got wv03 manchin margin off by 15 points. Even I thought he would win wv 03 by atleast 10