Sabato's Crystal Ball 2019-2020 Gubernatorial ratings. (user search)
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  Sabato's Crystal Ball 2019-2020 Gubernatorial ratings. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Sabato's Crystal Ball 2019-2020 Gubernatorial ratings.  (Read 1950 times)
lfromnj
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« on: December 06, 2018, 08:17:02 AM »

Governor races may now be polarized to get in like Oklahoma but opposition party governor's who compromise remain very popular. Louisiana is likely d but kentucky is safe r
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lfromnj
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« Reply #1 on: December 06, 2018, 09:21:11 AM »

Also WV is Safe R
. I guess Missouri can be given the benefit of the doubt a bit if the R governor screws it up badly. Indiana looks Safe as holcomb is a moderate hero.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #2 on: December 06, 2018, 12:48:08 PM »

I'd move IN to likely R (especially if Buttigieg runs), WA to Safe D, and KY to tossup, but overall this is well done.

Holcomb won't lose with hsi current trajectory
He is a moderate popular incumbent governor in a state favoring his party. All the fundamentals favor him besides maybe a primary from the right.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #3 on: December 07, 2018, 12:22:29 AM »

I can already tell that KY-Gov is gonna be the 2019 race I'm gonna need to ready the egg launching apparatus for.

And you'll get to do it for KY-SEN (as well as NV-PRES, of course) in 2020.

im gonna go bold and try doing it for Texas(not that I think the D will win Texas) but when the first polls come out they will probably show Trump up double digits in Texas and everyone will be LIKE SEE BETO was an abberation its clear the Texas burbs are coming home and then we get another close <5 point election.
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lfromnj
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« Reply #4 on: December 08, 2018, 10:22:57 PM »

I'd switch WA to Safe D, IN to Likely R, and MO to Lean R, but the rest checks out perfectly. At least until Vermont/NH have their D Primaries anyway.

Indiana is Titanium R LOL. Its a moderate hero Republican who is very popular in a very republican sta.
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