IN-05 2020: Should Democrats aggressively target Rep. Susan Brooks in 2020?

[lfromnj]

Aggresively?
No because its mostly defensive in 2020
But Donnely actually won this district so its a target.

[lfromnj]

Not sure where the "2020 wholly defensive election" thing came from because the Dems still have plenty of viable targets in 2020. NY-24, TX-23, PA-01, NE-02, IL-13, TX-24, GA-07, OH-01, and whatever redistricting puts on the table in NC are all viable targets.

Anyway, as to IN-05, no. That's a bridge too far.

its not a bridge too far if its a wave year like 08 or 80.
Joe Donnely won it while losing his home district
LOL.
Its basically Mo 2nd placed in Indiana.

[lfromnj]

Target? Yes. Aggressively? Probably not.

The rurals will still probably offset any gains the Dems will have in the Hamilton/Marion/Boone areas. I still see it as the Hoosier equivalent of Balderson’s or Wagner’s districts, and they both won only narrowly. If they invested in Thornton as much as they did in O’Connor or even VanOstran, she could have gotten within single digits of Brooks.

Clearly dems should invest in In 9th a Trump +26 district and In 2nd a trump +24 district than the Trump +12 trending D suburban district.

[lfromnj]

May I ask why this is so Out Of Reach if even Donnelly won it?

You say that as if Democrats should easily be able to perform better than Donnelly.

Tbf donnely was an idiot trying to appeal to rural hicks. A more suburban oriented campaign can win this district. These voters wanted to vote for him but he said build the wall

[lfromnj]

May I ask why this is so Out Of Reach if even Donnelly won it?

Because not every year is going to be a D+9 Democratic wave.

tbf this is one district they should compete. They just forgot to recruit a candidate. You kept MO 2 as competetive so IMO this should be just be just as competetive
The districts are very similar
Suburban
Pretty republican
Only districts in their states to swing towards Clinton
Each has a GOP women as the incumbent.
States in general are trending fast R>=.

[lfromnj]

May I ask why this is so Out Of Reach if even Donnelly won it?

Because not every year is going to be a D+9 Democratic wave.

tbf this is one district they should compete. They just forgot to recruit a candidate. You kept MO 2 as competetive so IMO this should be just be just as competetive
The districts are very similar
Suburban
Pretty republican
Only districts in their states to swing towards Clinton
Each has a GOP women as the incumbent.
States in general are trending fast R>=.

I mean, Brooks won by 14 while Wagner won by 4.

yeah In 5th is a bit to the right(like by a point or two) but a lot of the reason is due the dems targeting of the seats. Indiana dems wanted to win the #populists in the 2nd and 9th district instead of the 5th district. I don't think its super competetive but Joe Donnely won it while Mcaskill won the 2nd and both were won by similar amounts by relatively similar campaigns(appealing to hicks instead of burbs)