2020 Absentee/Early Voting megathread 2

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I think the data can say many things depending on the person analyzing it. I'm guessing Republicans seeing this would say that Republicans are waiting for Election Day to vote and will turnout massively.

I don't know anything about Florida, but it does seem like Early Voting is already well implemented in Florida. It seems fairly logical we'd see less of a partisan split in states where early voting has been used for a while and represents a big portion of the total vote.

With Covid it's hard to say if Dems outperforming their early vote (vis-a-vis Republicans) is necessarily as encouraging as it'd be in normal circumstances, but I do think that as long as they're holding ahead in turnout and can keep adding to their numbers, they could pull it out.

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It does seem pretty bad, but I'm also guessing that on a weekday more people are voting early than during the day.

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Bad is relative. I'm not worried. We have to wait for the whole day and see how mail-in ballots cut into that. It is a quicker pace than that we saw this weekend though; that's all I was saying.

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I think the talking point is that the Rs are cutting into the Dems' lead, but I mean that is to be expected with the sheer number of people turning out.

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what are the vmb numbers for FL?
Do these numbers include all counties or are Miami-Dade and other counties still lagging?

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Makes sense. I know NY has barely counted too and people are voting by mail.

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https://twitter.com/umichvoter99/status/1321184466015080451

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it's an opinion piece first of all

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yeah, my saying it was an opinion piece was to highlight that it should be taken with a grain of salt.

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Is the weekend early voting better for Dems or Reps (mostly asking for FL)? I know Sunday is slated to be better for Dems but what about Saturday?

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Did Wayne County seriously have  higher turnout in 2018 than in 2016 and 2012? That doesn’t sound right.

Not even close. There were 658k votes for Senate in Wayne in 2018 vs. 783k votes for President in Wayne in 2016 (and 818k in 2012). Hard to imagine Detroit went the opposite direction of the rest of Wayne County by such an extreme degree. I assume they just have bad data.

person who tweeted made a mistake. They were talking about 2008 not 2018. They rectified it later on.

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but this was turnout percentage not absolute number of voters (if I recall).

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https://twitter.com/Eggymceggerson3/status/1322535922257285120

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Based on the turnout numbers I think it does

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How does this compare to 2016 in Oregon?