In case anyone's kinda wondering about that whole Georgia 10 Special Election... (user search)
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  In case anyone's kinda wondering about that whole Georgia 10 Special Election... (search mode)
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Author Topic: In case anyone's kinda wondering about that whole Georgia 10 Special Election...  (Read 3587 times)
Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,547


« on: July 18, 2007, 04:22:10 PM »

Looks like there will be an automatic recount.  If Broun does manage to hold I, expect he'll get bounced from office in 2008.  I doubt he can win a straight up GOP primary, and if he does, a Democrat might just pick up the seat.  Broun's getting a lot of his votes from non-Republicans solely because he's not Whitehead.

No Democrat's winning that seat.

What he said.

What he said.  Too much classically Republican suburbs.  Columbia County, for example, is not voting for any Democrat.  And actually, Broun performed pretty well in the rural areas of the CD.


A Democrat does not have to win Columbia County to win the district, but get at least 39% there.
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Mr.Phips
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,547


« Reply #1 on: July 18, 2007, 07:03:04 PM »

Looks like there will be an automatic recount.  If Broun does manage to hold I, expect he'll get bounced from office in 2008.  I doubt he can win a straight up GOP primary, and if he does, a Democrat might just pick up the seat.  Broun's getting a lot of his votes from non-Republicans solely because he's not Whitehead.

No Democrat's winning that seat.

What he said.

What he said.  Too much classically Republican suburbs.  Columbia County, for example, is not voting for any Democrat.  And actually, Broun performed pretty well in the rural areas of the CD.


A Democrat does not have to win Columbia County to win the district, but get at least 39% there.

True, but when's the last time that happened (since 1994)?  Zell Miller is the only one, I would guess.  I would presume the Democrat would have to rack up similar gains in the other counties as well.

Roy Barnes got 37% in Columbia in 1998 and Max Cleland got 34% there in 1996.  The only one that surpassed the neccassary 39% was Miller in 2000 who got 48% there.
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