If this district stays as is, this will be competitive, if it becomes a Des Moines centered seat (which is what I expect, regardless of whether or not the eastern hourglass happens), then this is probably Lean D. Since a computer draws the map in Iowa, a lot is left to be decided obviously, but even in a Des Moines centered seat, Axne could absolutely lose, if the wave is large enough. TL;DR tossup if seat remains as is, Lean D if it becomes a Des-Moines centered seat.
A Des Moines centered seat even would have voted for Hillary Clinton by a decent margin. Axne would not lose there.
