HOT! - SUSA does 50 States - 100 Senatorial Approval POlls

[minionofmidas]

Tim Johnson at 67? Kent Conrad at 71? Will it mean anything?

[minionofmidas]

im surprised that kerry's negatives are so high in mass.  any reason for this?

Yeah, noticed that too. Maybe it's just post-election disaffection with Kerry among core Democrats, as witnessed on this board as well.

[minionofmidas]

10   IN   Bayh, Evan   67%   22%   45%
57   VA   Allen, George   53%   32%   21%
81   TN   Frist, Bill                   51%    39%   12%
96   OK   Coburn, Tom   43%   40%   3%
97   OK   Inhofe, James   44%   42%   2%
99   PA   Santorum, Rick   45%   44%   1%

Well, considering several conservative Indiana commentators were quick to write-off Bayh when he voted against Condi Rice, I'm quite pleased with his favourability rating, though its not in the 70s. When you compare him with other Democratic contenders expected to run in 2008, he's looking good

Meanwhile, on the GOP potential runners, Santorum's clearly is, and would be, a polarising candidate, while other expected runners Allen, to a greater extent, and Frist, to a lesser extent, fair better

Nice to see those pair of Oklahoma wing nuts coming in at positions 96 and 97

Dave

Frist's rating too is pretty horrible for anyone trying to set up a presidential candidacy. (Then again, John Kerry's rating is no better...)

[minionofmidas]

I guess he's angered a number of groups both left and right, on more issues than thsi one probably. Maybe he's just not been very adept at selling his moves.

[minionofmidas]

ahahaha, remember all the Republicans claiming that Conrad is dead in the water?

Perhaps you've forgotten Hoeven leads Governors in approval rating?

Perhaps you've forgotten, all else being equal, ND is Republican?

All else being equal, in congressional elections, ND is solidly Democrat.
(Which isn't the same as saying Conrad is safe...although this poll looks good.)

[minionofmidas]

Thank, Vorlon.  Is this a poll of Registered voters, or just adults.

Couple quickie technical notes:

Sample sizes were about 600 or so based on the quoted +/- 4.0% MOE.

This was a sample of ADULTS as aopposed to registered or likely votes.

Typically, a Democrat will do 2 or 3% better in a ADULTS poll versus likely voters, while a GOP candidate will go a tad worse.

SUSA, while a very decent firm, historically has a mild "pull to the left" usually 3ish % or so.

Polls of Adults will also bounce around a fair bit more than polls of registered or likely votes.  The 45% who don't vote are (obviously) less firm in the political opinions and will hence bouncve up or down with the news of the day far more than registered or likely voters.

Okay thanks.