Virginia 2005 Gubernatorial Election

[minionofmidas]

Lots of negative campaigning you say? Only between Kilgore and Kaine or are they attacking Potts too?
Because if it's the first, I'd like to place a bet on Potts getting over 5% right now.

[minionofmidas]

A Black woman, in the current political climate?
Yep. Doesn't take a lot.

[minionofmidas]

1st out of 3 prediction:

(D) Kaine   47%
(R) Kilgore 48%
(I) Potts     5%
Other         1%

Who's the Other in the race?

[minionofmidas]

If they are, it's because they don't believe they'll win, not (or mostly not) because of intra-party wrangling.
It's more likely (not ruling out the other option though) that someone from the other side's spreading these kinds of rumours.

[minionofmidas]

Is northern virginia a solid dem area or is it a tossup or what? Just wondering

Northern Virginia has been trending Democratic, and it strongly supported Warner in 2001.  It is likely that Kaine will draw the most votes here and in his hometown, Richmond.  Hopefully, he can build on Warner's momentum.  His greatest weakness will be the panhandle, which is Kilgore's home.  Amazingly enough, despite the economic problems of that area (and southside Virginia in general) most people are single-issue voters and side with the Republicans over the values debate or gun control.  Sad, really.

...that's quite a recent trend, Southwestern Virginia used to be Democratic. Kilgore is from there? Yeah, they'll probably vote for him, in that case.

[minionofmidas]

I see a definite trend...although whether the election result will do the same is o/c up in the air.
After all, just because those deciding two weeks before the election break heavily towards Kaine doesn't mean those who decide three days before the election may not break heavily for Kilgore. (There are similar strange patterns in the 2000 presidentials IIRC)