Swedish election 2010

[minionofmidas]

And it's a problem for the same reason the expense scandal was a problem in Britain.

Hysteria?

Yes. That does seem to be what he meant. Oh, and also lack of oversight at normal times, and the fact that for this very reason it just confirmed what everybody always assumed about these people (mostly of the other party) but couldn't prove.

[minionofmidas]

Do you even understand Swedish Tender?

No, but the Sweden Democrats @ only 4.6% !!!

And the Social Democrats are the strongest party.

Hung parliament despite SD not underpolling massively? SD* certain to be largest party? I'll take it. It's the most we could realistically hope for by the last week.

*the other SD.

[minionofmidas]

Close to 10% reporting now. SD still at 7.1% (but was 7.6% at one point). They polled 3.9% in 2006 across the precincts in now, if I understand this right.

[minionofmidas]

The areas in so far are good for S, SD and especially C, bad for MP and M. (Hilariously, they are representative in the coalitional horserace department.) I'm sensing an alphabetical conspiracy.

[minionofmidas]

Just from the swings in the areas in yet, M might very well end up the largest party.

[minionofmidas]

First province, Örebrö is 50% in.

[minionofmidas]

SD will soon be overtaken by FP and MP ...

Has happened now.

[minionofmidas]

Areas in starting to resemble the actual result, with no party off by more than one percentage point. Though Center and Social Democrat areas still overrepresented.

[minionofmidas]

Svt now predicting that Sd will be bigger than V and Kd.

They also just predicted Alliance majority

The first of these seems a much safer prediction than the latter.

MP has just overtaken C, btw.

[minionofmidas]

Malmö's pretty far in, actually. Göteborg's lagging the most.

[minionofmidas]

Yeah, looks like the government may actually get back in with a tiny majority. Damn.

[minionofmidas]

They're still 6000 votes short... but on a uniform swing they'll make up a bit more than that minuscule distance. Though SD has won the race for largest party - I declare it officially over.

[minionofmidas]

Though SD has won the race for largest party - I declare it officially over.

Sd surly had great success, but they're nowhere near biggest, I think you're talking of S or SAP

For the second time in this thread, too!

[minionofmidas]

1700 votes down. Though the gap actually crept up at the last two updates, not that that  means anything.

[minionofmidas]

And down again to 827.

Eh. This is both closer than between any individual parties, and more important. Though I think we know how it'll end.

[minionofmidas]

Götland has become the first all-in constituency.

M    Moderata Samlingspartiet    9411    25,2%    +2022    +3,9
C    Centerpartiet    5545    14,9%    -1224    -4,7
FP    Folkpartiet liberalerna    1719    4,6%    +237    +0,3
KD    Kristdemokraterna    1106    3,0%    -231    -0,9    
S    Arbetarepartiet-Socialdemokraterna    12528    33,6%    +302    -1,8    
V    Vänsterpartiet    2221    6,0%    +163      -
MP    Miljöpartiet de gröna    2993    8,0%    +945    +2,1
SD    Sverigedemokraterna    1166    3,1%    +616    +1,5
ÖVR    others    633    1,7%    -123    -0,5    
Turnout    37935    82,0%    +2330    +3,3

[minionofmidas]

So one of the questions that remain is, will Sahlin resign tonight?

Not if the government ends up a seat short, I would presume.

[minionofmidas]

Lol, Västra Götaland south constituency has been sitting there waiting for that last precinct to come in for half an hour now.

[minionofmidas]

213 precincts still out, in every province but one. Government still trailing, by 5000 votes again. Still totally up in the air whether they'll pull this out or not.
I'm giving up. Guarded milkpot and all that.

[minionofmidas]

Not sure how that happens or how Sweden's law functions exactly, but a national Hare-Niemeyer distribution would give four fewer seats for S, one fewer for M, and one more for every other represented party except SD. (Which does mean two more seats, net, for the coalition.)

[minionofmidas]

"fattigdom" means "poverty"? Lol. Never would have guessed.

[minionofmidas]

I know most of their funds comes from an anonymous donator nicknamed "santa claus"

Of course it does.

Wow.

[minionofmidas]

It's hilariously fringe.

[minionofmidas]

They had much their best support in Skane, yes. And very little in Stockholm and the (thinly populated and strongly leftist) far north.

[minionofmidas]

More like the Indiana of Sweden. Fairly industrial or post-industrial, but also fairly affluent. Also, very high rural/smalltown population density (by Swedish standards... well duh. It's the inhabitable part. ).