MPR News/Star Tribune/KARE-11 Minnesota Poll: Biden 48 Trump 42 (user search)
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  MPR News/Star Tribune/KARE-11 Minnesota Poll: Biden 48 Trump 42 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MPR News/Star Tribune/KARE-11 Minnesota Poll: Biden 48 Trump 42  (Read 1408 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,441
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Political Matrix
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« on: September 26, 2020, 03:09:30 PM »

MN and NV are the only potential Clinton -> Trump flips. NH is too non-religious and Sununu has no reverse coattails.
What about Maine?

Outside of ME-02? Not likely.  ME-01 is completely out reach. And while ME-AL could flip if Trump is having a shockingly good night, that small population discrepancy between the 1st and 2nd districts (around 30,000) holds a lot of weight.  

In order to win ME-AL, Trump would need to win the 2nd district by an even larger margin than he did in 2016 and then significantly cut into the margin of the 1st district.  

Again, it's not completely impossible, but with the polling coming out of ME, he's much better served looking for other potential flips.  
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