MPR News/Star Tribune/KARE-11 Minnesota Poll: Biden 48 Trump 42

[Minnesota Mike]

https://www.mprnews.org/story/2020/09/26/minnesota-poll-biden-holds-on-to-lead-over-trump

[SnowLabrador]

Biden will probably win Minnesota this year, but I wouldn't be shocked to see it flip in 2024 or 2028.

[Minnesota Mike]

Mason Dixon. Biden up 1 since their last poll in May.

[TiltsAreUnderrated]

800 likely voters
September 21-23
MoE: 3.5%

Biden 48%
Trump 42%
Other 2%
Undecided 8%

Their last poll was of registered, not likely, voters.

[Tender Branson]

I like the results presentation of the Star Tribune:

https://www.startribune.com/minnesota-poll-results-2020-presidential-race-election-biden-trump-absentee-voting-ballot-mail/572533161

This looks about right, I expect something like 52-46-2 for Biden.

[Tender Branson]

4 years ago, M-D also had Hillary up 6:

https://www.startribune.com/complete-minnesota-poll-results-presidential-race/393710181/

[soundchaser]

4 years ago, M-D also had Hillary up 6:

https://www.startribune.com/complete-minnesota-poll-results-presidential-race/393710181/

At 44%, though: 2% under her final total.

[Gass3268]

4 years ago, M-D also had Hillary up 6:

https://www.startribune.com/complete-minnesota-poll-results-presidential-race/393710181/

Looks like they didn't account for education.

[neostassenite31]

The Trump campaign is emphatically going for broke in MN this cycle. The state is getting the full Florida treatment and my understanding is that the president wants to win this state very, very badly.

Trump's problems in MN are not unique to this state. It's very similar to the challenges he currently has in WI, MI, and even IA. The national environment will have to change (debates, scandals, etc.) if he is to have a decent shot.

[Tender Branson]

The good news for Uncle Joe is that he performs much better with Indys in the poll compared to Hilldog.

Biden+3 vs. Hillary-11.

[neostassenite31]

It is a 47% college-educated sample and the best they could do is Biden+6. 35%-40% college-educated seems to be what the other pollsters are using. 

[VAR]

Trump approval: 43/52 (-9)

[Gass3268]

It is a 47% college-educated sample and the best they could do is Biden+6. 35%-40% college-educated seems to be what the other pollsters are using. 

45% of Minnesotans have a college degree. It's the highest in the Midwest, so 47% is perfect.

[Woody]

The good news for Uncle Joe is that he performs much better with Indys in the poll compared to Hilldog.

Biden+3 vs. Hillary-11.

Dude. You need stop calling him Uncle Joe, he's not relatable, he's a 77 year old senile bureaucrat dinosaur, who has never held a real job in his life.

[Tender Branson]

The good news for Uncle Joe is that he performs much better with Indys in the poll compared to Hilldog.

Biden+3 vs. Hillary-11.

Dude. You need stop calling him Uncle Joe, he's not relatable, he's a 77 year old senile bureaucrat dinosaur, who has never held a real job in his life.

I call him Uncle Joe whenever I want.

[soundchaser]

Dude. You need stop calling him Uncle Joe, he's not relatable, he's a 77 year old senile bureaucrat dinosaur, who has never held a real job in his life.

As opposed to the very relatable everyman depicted in your signature's meme.

[Minnesota Mike]

It is a 47% college-educated sample and the best they could do is Biden+6. 35%-40% college-educated seems to be what the other pollsters are using. 

45% of Minnesotans have a college degree. It's the highest in the Midwest, so 47% is perfect.

And those with a college degree are more likely to vote. If anything 47% may be a little low.

[Tender Branson]

It is a 47% college-educated sample and the best they could do is Biden+6. 35%-40% college-educated seems to be what the other pollsters are using.  

45% of Minnesotans have a college degree. It's the highest in the Midwest, so 47% is perfect.

I find it amazing that we, with only a 18% college degree share, elected a Green President over a Far-Right Trump-lite one ...

[republican1993]

+6 seems about right in my opinion at the moment still gives trump some hope to get close in this state if undecideds break his way

[kph14]

It is a 47% college-educated sample and the best they could do is Biden+6. 35%-40% college-educated seems to be what the other pollsters are using.  

45% of Minnesotans have a college degree. It's the highest in the Midwest, so 47% is perfect.

I find it amazing that we, with only a 18% college degree share, elected a Green President over a Far-Right Trump-lite one ...

Everyone goes to college in America... vocational training is not a big thing and not well regarded at all, especially compared to central Europe

[Buzz]

Trump is going to Duluth on Wednesday.  He clearly thinks it’s a gettable State.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Trump is going to Duluth on Wednesday.  He clearly thinks it’s a gettable State.

He also thinks Nevada is a gettable state, so...

[Woody]

Trump is going to Duluth on Wednesday.  He clearly thinks it’s a gettable State.

He also thinks Nevada is a gettable state, so...

Maybe because it is?

[Fusternino]

MN and NV are the only potential Clinton -> Trump flips. NH is too non-religious and Sununu has no reverse coattails.

[Woody]

MN and NV are the only potential Clinton -> Trump flips. NH is too non-religious and Sununu has no reverse coattails.

What about Maine?