New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (user search)
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  New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT) (search mode)
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Primary Thread (polls close at 6-7 CT)  (Read 52981 times)
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« on: February 11, 2020, 06:26:39 AM »
« edited: February 11, 2020, 01:38:30 PM by Penn_Quaker_Girl »
Morning, y'all!

Just for reference, here's a quick guide for the last two (2008, 2016) Democratic Primaries in New Hampshire.

2016:

Democratic Primary



Bernie Sanders: 152,193 votes (60.14%) -- 15.0 delegates
Hilllary Clinton: 95,355 votes (37.68%) -- 9.0 delegates
Other:  4,514 votes (2.15%) -- 0.0 delegates

Total votes:  252,062

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2008:

Democratic Primary



Hillary Clinton: 112,404 votes (39.1%) -- 9.0 delegates
Barack Obama: 104,815 votes (36.5%) -- 9.0 delegates
John Edwards:  48,699 votes (16.9%) -- 4.0 delegates
Other: 19,609 votes (7.2%) -- 0.0 delegates


Total votes:  287,527

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

And for further reference, here are the turnout totals from the GOP Primaries in 2016, 2012, and 2008:  

2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary: 285,916

2012 New Hampshire Republican Primary: 248,475

2008 New Hampshire Republican Primary: 234,851
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #1 on: February 11, 2020, 12:16:32 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 12:07:18 PM


Well at the very least, that sign also puts to rest how to pronounce his last name. 
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #2 on: February 11, 2020, 02:15:09 PM »
NH SOS on expected turnout today:

Per WCVB --

Quote
After initially predicting a turnout of more than 500,000 percent, he has since announced an official prediction of 420,000 voters. That includes 292,000 Democratic ballots and 128,000 Republican ballots.
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #3 on: February 11, 2020, 02:22:26 PM »
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 11, 2020, 02:20:54 PM
Quote from: n1240 on February 11, 2020, 02:13:54 PM
Voter turnout numbers (as of 12:30 pm) to over-analyze from college towns:



Sanders 2016 performance in each location:

Durham: 70.3%
Plymouth: 79.2%
Hanover: 53.1%
Keene Ward 1: 82.6%


Ivy League elites coming out big for Wall Street Pete

We prefer "Snooty Trust Fund Babies", thank you!
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #4 on: February 11, 2020, 02:23:27 PM »

So going by 2016 numbers, we should see around 1,620,000,000 total primary ballots.  
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #5 on: February 11, 2020, 02:25:11 PM »
Quote from: Eastern Kentucky Demosaur fighting the long defeat on February 11, 2020, 02:24:04 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on February 11, 2020, 02:22:26 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI on February 11, 2020, 02:20:54 PM
Quote from: n1240 on February 11, 2020, 02:13:54 PM
Voter turnout numbers (as of 12:30 pm) to over-analyze from college towns:



Sanders 2016 performance in each location:

Durham: 70.3%
Plymouth: 79.2%
Hanover: 53.1%
Keene Ward 1: 82.6%


Ivy League elites coming out big for Wall Street Pete

We prefer "Snooty Trust Fund Babies", thank you!

I genuinely mean no offense by this, but for some reason I always forget that UPenn is an Ivy.

Offense taken and catalogued.  You're on thin ice, dude. 
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #6 on: February 11, 2020, 02:30:34 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on February 11, 2020, 02:25:59 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on February 11, 2020, 02:15:09 PM
NH SOS on expected turnout today:

Per WCVB --

Quote
After initially predicting a turnout of more than 500,000 percent, he has since announced an official prediction of 420,000 voters. That includes 292,000 Democratic ballots and 128,000 Republican ballots.

Dem at 292K is a bit higher than the 2016 GOP primary vote of around 286K and a lot higher than the 2016 Dem primary vote of 253K.  GOP turnout of 128K is way higher than the 60K in the 2012 Dem primary.

To be fair, Obama was pretty much running unopposed.  The next closest Democrat netted 945 votes to Obama's 49,000. 
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #7 on: February 11, 2020, 03:01:40 PM »
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #8 on: February 11, 2020, 03:07:12 PM »
Quote from: Arizona Iced Tea on February 11, 2020, 03:05:25 PM
What times do polls close? An hour before Iowa did?

Some close at 7:00pm EST; others stay open until 8:00pm EST.  
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #9 on: February 11, 2020, 03:08:44 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on February 11, 2020, 03:06:43 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on February 11, 2020, 03:01:40 PM


"Early reports of high turnout in Costal New Hampshire suggest victory for Buttigieg and/or Klobuchar"

Adam did I do it right?

Also something I just realized:  "COASTAL New Hampshire"?

New Hampshire only has like twenty miles of coast.  
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #10 on: February 11, 2020, 03:17:30 PM »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 11, 2020, 03:13:04 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on February 11, 2020, 03:08:44 PM
Also something I just realized:  "COASTAL New Hampshire"?

New Hampshire only has like twenty miles of coast.  

It is called The SEACOST, not coastal New Hampshire. Get it right, people! Remember, this is Atlas!

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Seacoast_Region_(New_Hampshire)

(Overly sarcastic and mocking) Oh! My mistake! How could I forget about COSTAL New Hampshire???
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #11 on: February 11, 2020, 03:24:04 PM »
« Edited: February 11, 2020, 03:29:54 PM by Penn_Quaker_Girl »
Quote from: 👁️👁️ on February 11, 2020, 03:21:29 PM
Quote from: Penn_Quaker_Girl on February 11, 2020, 03:17:30 PM
(Overly sarcastic and mocking) Oh! My mistake! How could I forget about COSTAL New Hampshire???

NH takes itself very seriously. You say "13 mile strip of coast." NH Says The Seacoast REGION. That's right, it is a REGION.

Alright, alright, I'm backing down.  Then again, I come from a state that requires like three different courses on Texas state history in grade school, so I have no right to talk about state pride lol.  
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #12 on: February 11, 2020, 03:41:34 PM »

Headline tomorrow morning:

Nightmare in New England:  Chaos in New Hampshire as Results Delayed Due to Error, SawxDem Must Change Username
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #13 on: February 12, 2020, 05:19:35 AM »
Quote from: Meclazine on February 12, 2020, 02:59:02 AM
Quote from: Interlocutor on February 12, 2020, 02:47:54 AM
MSNBC has been talking about nothing but Buttigieg & Klobuchar for the last 30 minutes. If it wasn't for the graphic showing Bernie as the winner, you'd think he wasn't even on the ballot

Given that Bernie was meant to wipe the floor 6-0 6-0 6-0, the fact that Pete and Amy got on the board and were competitive is the actual news story worth listening too.

It could be the start of the Pete and Amy show.

Pete appealed to uneducated white women between 40-64 who earnt $120,000-$200,000 per annum.

Amy appealed to highly educated people.

Sanders appeared to the socialists.

Uneducated white women aged 40-64 making six figures?

Assuming uneducated means that they didn't get a college degree, how many of these women do you think there are?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #14 on: February 12, 2020, 06:32:04 AM »
« Edited: February 12, 2020, 06:49:01 AM by Penn_Quaker_Girl »
Morning, y'all!

With around 90-95% of the vote counted in New Hampshire, I've added where things stand right now to my quick reference guide that I posted yesterday morning:  

2020:

Democratic Primary



Bernie Sanders: 71,759 votes (25.7%)
Pete Buttigieg: 68,141 votes (24.4%)
Amy Klobuchar:  55,164 votes (19.8%)
Elizabeth Warren:  25,899 votes (9.29%)
Joe Biden: 23,475 votes (8.42%)
Other: 34,402 votes (12.3%)

Total votes:  278,804

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2016:

Democratic Primary



Bernie Sanders: 152,193 votes (60.14%) -- 15.0 delegates
Hilllary Clinton: 95,355 votes (37.68%) -- 9.0 delegates
Other:  4,514 votes (2.15%) -- 0.0 delegates

Total votes:  252,062

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2008:

Democratic Primary



Hillary Clinton: 112,404 votes (39.1%) -- 9.0 delegates
Barack Obama: 104,815 votes (36.5%) -- 9.0 delegates
John Edwards:  48,699 votes (16.9%) -- 4.0 delegates
Other: 19,609 votes (7.2%) -- 0.0 delegates


Total votes:  287,527

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

And for further reference, here are the turnout totals from the GOP Primaries in 2016, 2012, and 2008:  

2016 New Hampshire Republican Primary: 285,916

2012 New Hampshire Republican Primary: 248,475

2008 New Hampshire Republican Primary: 234,851
Logged
Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #15 on: February 12, 2020, 09:49:07 AM »


Anybody want to tell him?
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Penn_Quaker_Girl
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,440
India


Political Matrix
E: 0.10, S: 0.06
« Reply #16 on: February 12, 2020, 10:23:56 AM »
Quote from: Grassr00ts on February 12, 2020, 10:21:00 AM
The Sanders supporters here are a little ticked off today. Didn't he win?

Grassr00ts, be nice Tongue
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