2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (user search)
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  2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2022 Primary Election Night Coverage Megathread (9/13 - GRAND FINALE - DE, NH, RI)  (Read 85858 times)
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« on: May 17, 2022, 10:44:04 PM »

Oz within 1,000 votes according to NYT
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2022, 10:50:32 PM »

The squabbling and recounts will give Fetterman a nice thing to campaign against
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2022, 10:53:27 PM »

Idk if it’s been mentioned but with over 30% in Schraeder is trailing against McLeod-Skinner 60/40
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2022, 11:03:51 PM »

McCormick is hanging on to those 2,000 votes for dear life
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2022, 11:06:18 PM »

Also for a sweep and an uncontested governors race and three congressionals the democrats are spot on for turnout with the republicans
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2022, 11:17:27 PM »

Also for a sweep and an uncontested governors race and three congressionals the democrats are spot on for turnout with the republicans

That's good news for Democrats, right? That means maybe Dem voters aren't too disillusioned to vote this year?

I’m not sure where this is coming from, I have R’s receiving like 150k more votes in PA

Going off NYT, which has democrats at 89% in and 1,097,240 and GOP at 92% in with 1,223,563 time of writing. Math it out you get 1,232,854 as a supposed total for Dems in a much less compatible primary and republicans with 1,329,960 supposed total. It’s a big gap, but republicans had a lot more offices to vote on then democrats did as the governors, senate, and lieutenant governor races have all turned to blow outs while for republicans all of those have been hotly contested.

It’s not a one to one but it shows a decent sign for democrats
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2022, 11:22:22 PM »

It only took him all damn night
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #7 on: May 18, 2022, 03:42:14 PM »

Overall this was a good night for progressives. Also Summer Lee shows that Nina Turner is just a bad campaigner
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #8 on: May 18, 2022, 06:00:13 PM »

https://www.young4ky.com/

By the way did anyone see the Dem primary winner in Kentucky 6th ?
 


A marginal downgrade from McGrath
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #9 on: May 19, 2022, 09:54:05 PM »

Let's talk Democrats a little bit here too:

Rep. Kurt Schrader was one of the 5 Members who initially opposed BBB and then voted for it after the BIF was passed.
Rep. Stephanie Murphy did not bother to even run for Re-Election. It remains to be seen what happens to Rep. Josh Gottheimer in NJ.

If Jamie McLeod-Skinner (OR-5) and Summer Lee (PA-12) win that bodes very bad News for Henry Cuellar in TX on Tuesday.

So Democrats purging out their moderates as well.

That’s an insult to moderates
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #10 on: May 24, 2022, 12:55:43 PM »



Sorry Dave Wasserman, you are late. I was first to declare so my vote is going to count first, lol

Woohoo more gays in congress
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #11 on: May 24, 2022, 02:45:42 PM »


Sorry Dave Wasserman, you are late. I was first to declare so my vote is going to count first, lol

Woohoo more gays in congress
Woohoo less Kurt Schraders in congress

An absolute win
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #12 on: May 24, 2022, 09:55:56 PM »

In other news the Walker’s lowest numbers are in the Atlanta area and it’s suburbs, this could be a bad sign for him come November
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #13 on: June 07, 2022, 07:06:47 PM »

Very boring election night considering how many states are voting.

I don’t see how? There’s a bunch of open seats/incumbent shuffling with all the redustricting in California (and also one in MT). California’s top two keeps things perpetually interesting.
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #14 on: June 12, 2022, 11:20:06 AM »

Am I the only one who still has get used to reading MT-1 and MT-2? 😄

How well would you be able to adapt to ME-AL and/or RI-AL at some point within the next generation?

Don't forget that DE-01 and DE-02 might happen at some point in the next few decades

DE-00 is the oldest congressional district in america, if we loose it america will collapse

don’t ask me how
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #15 on: June 14, 2022, 10:18:21 AM »

Just voted in my local precinct, anecdotally there were more signatures for the Republican primary then democratic, but I forgot to look at my number so democrats could have been on different pages of the day

I’ve been working for a local democrat campaign and the big concern is how many democrats would crossover to the republican primary to vote for/against Rice. Truth be told if I wasn’t working for this campaign I would’ve voted for Rice
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #16 on: June 14, 2022, 04:27:27 PM »

Idk who runs this thread but it would be cool if every primary we had a “did you vote” poll
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #17 on: June 14, 2022, 05:55:55 PM »

Also just so y’all don’t get yer knickers in a twist I’ll remind you SC is a 50+1% to win primary state. 

Rice is either going to win or go to a runoff tonight. I’d be shocked if Fry (or anyone else) clears 50% with the crowded field. Arthur has been putting a lot of big ads across Horry so I wouldn’t be shocked if she got 10%.

Mace is likely in the same boat, it’ll just depend on how much the third candidate gets. The story is gonna be in the margins
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #18 on: June 14, 2022, 06:29:06 PM »

Abbeville and Anderson have reports on NYT but not SCVotes

https://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/114143/Web02-state.289375/#/?undefined
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #19 on: June 14, 2022, 06:34:15 PM »


I'd be shocked if he even gets it to a runoff. He got 2% in 2018
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #20 on: June 14, 2022, 06:45:27 PM »

Does McMaster win every county in the primary?

Being that I just heard of Musslewhite tonight so Imma go with no
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leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #21 on: June 14, 2022, 06:52:23 PM »

Also worth noting in South Carolina there is an open statewide election in the Superintendtant of Education that is looking competitive
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #22 on: June 14, 2022, 06:56:02 PM »

Calling SC-GOV D for Cunningham!
Calling SC-6 D for Clyburn!

RIP Mia McLeod, she and State House Minority Leader Rutherford had some interesting spars on twitter last week
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #23 on: June 14, 2022, 07:05:46 PM »

Also worth noting in South Carolina there is an open statewide election in the Superintendtant of Education that is looking competitive
Isn't Maness the more reasonable Republican? Quick search shows she was endorsed by Spearman who if I'm correct is more of a moderate.
I would think so? Interestingly Weaver was endorsed by a former Superintendent Nielsen who was a republican then democrat (no idea what she is now)
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,113
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #24 on: June 14, 2022, 08:36:32 PM »

Nancy Mace is still comfortably leading against Arrington

Also my campaign (Jackie Hayes for HD-55) looks to have won and is in good condition to win in the general

If anyone is curious I have detailed results of all the Dillon County Elections
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