2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Virginia (user search)
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  2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Virginia (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2020 Census and Redistricting Thread: Virginia  (Read 59440 times)
Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,149
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« on: October 18, 2021, 11:49:39 AM »

This is my third cycle paying attention and I wasn’t prepared for how comprehensive and disastrous a sh**tshow redistricting was going to be in every state.

Yea this cycle (my first) has really made me realize how ineffective, untransparent, and easily manipulated "independent commisions" really are.

Sadly I don't know an alternative. I have thought of a (very large) comission selected by the supreme court but that seems a bit unrealistic and equallly problematic
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,149
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2021, 12:51:03 PM »

This is my third cycle paying attention and I wasn’t prepared for how comprehensive and disastrous a sh**tshow redistricting was going to be in every state.

Yea this cycle (my first) has really made me realize how ineffective, untransparent, and easily manipulated "independent commisions" really are.

Sadly I don't know an alternative. I have thought of a (very large) comission selected by the supreme court but that seems a bit unrealistic and equallly problematic

Yeah. I think Michigan is doing ok, and Iowa could be ok, and Colorado isn’t as bad as a gerrymander would be. I think there are elements that can be successful but only if assembled properly and there are safeguards against one party gaming the system (VA, IA). But some of these commissions are just dead on arrival - OH, NJ, VA failed immediately.

Michigan has actually had to keep drawing maps cause they kept drawing ones with two much republican bias and Colorado was fixated on a 4-3-1 map for the longest time for no reason while the main democrat appointee just became toxic… so I wouldn’t say they’re resounding successes
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,149
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #2 on: December 08, 2021, 04:44:14 PM »

DRA link for the congressional map.

Working on uploading the senate and HoD maps.

6-5 by Pres 2016, 7-4 by Gov 2017, Sen 2018, and Pres 2020.

Honestly? Really like it. Democrats could stand to have another safe safe seat, but it’s a fairly decent map
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,149
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #3 on: December 09, 2021, 05:04:54 PM »
« Edited: December 09, 2021, 05:48:22 PM by Thread Popcorn Salesman »

am currently not sober and made this beautiful, by putting zero thought in it, 9-2 map

Please judge it mercilessly



https://davesredistricting.org/join/6524e592-5a07-4536-a68c-8de52097ec34
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Born to Slay. Forced to Work.
leecannon
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,149
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.78

« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2022, 11:34:34 AM »

If Virginia does gain a district, it may be possible to draw an Asian-plurality district in west Fairfax/east Loudoun counties by 2030. Would be very interesting - the first such district outside of Hawaii, California and NYC, and the first truly new Asian-interest seat since Grace Meng’s created in the 2010 cycle.

Across the south there is lots of potential for Asian plurality/majority seats in the future. Georgia south of Cumming and Texas in Denton and Sugarland you can almost draw one as is. Heck even North Carolina you can draw a majority asian state house seat

I’d be surprised if there isn’t atleast one after 2030 somewhere in the house
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