Mugabe admirer wins Zambian election (user search)
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  Mugabe admirer wins Zambian election (search mode)
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Author Topic: Mugabe admirer wins Zambian election  (Read 3608 times)
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Hashemite
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« on: November 01, 2008, 11:27:47 AM »
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Ugh. sh**t.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #1 on: November 01, 2008, 12:07:28 PM »
Revised. There is still some hope. 137/159 constituencies have reported, and the MMD is narrowing the gap with Satan.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2008, 01:53:04 PM »
Banda (MMD) is now leading Satan (PF) 39.95-38.46

148/159 reporting at 20:00

http://www.elections.org.zm/index2.php?option=com_docman&task=doc_view&gid=104&Itemid=78
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Hashemite
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« Reply #3 on: November 02, 2008, 06:58:34 AM »
Quote from: ottermax on November 02, 2008, 01:56:46 AM
Is Zambia FPTP? I assume so. Also, does Zambia have a history of voter fraud? I thought it was a fairly free democracy (for African standards).

FPTP, with no runoffs.
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« Reply #4 on: November 02, 2008, 07:00:01 AM »
150/159

Banda 40.09
Satan 38.13
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« Reply #5 on: November 02, 2008, 02:59:42 PM »

Reminds me of New Mexico somehow.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #6 on: November 02, 2008, 08:11:48 PM »
Banda has won, Satan's supporters have started rioting etc.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2008, 07:46:15 AM »
Quote from: grow wise, grow ill, and die on November 03, 2008, 07:30:19 AM
will now check if there is sufficient regional polarization to allow for an explanation not consisting of gov't rigging, and also compare with 2006 results...

Only the PF is talking of rigging. Observers and parallel counts are seeing no rigging.
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2008, 04:42:48 PM »
Quote from: grow wise, grow ill, and die on November 03, 2008, 08:18:14 AM
Quote from: Kentoc'h mervel eget saotr on November 03, 2008, 07:46:15 AM
Quote from: grow wise, grow ill, and die on November 03, 2008, 07:30:19 AM
will now check if there is sufficient regional polarization to allow for an explanation not consisting of gov't rigging, and also compare with 2006 results...

Only the PF is talking of rigging. Observers and parallel counts are seeing no rigging.

Regional polarization is certainly high enough for (depending on order of counting) such a stunning reversal to be entirely plausible.

Turnout seems down by suspicious amounts though...

The heavily PF urban constituencies reported first, and the solidly MMD rural constituencies reported later.
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« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2008, 03:50:59 PM »
Quote from: grow wise, grow ill, and die on November 04, 2008, 10:07:40 AM
Quote from: Kentoc'h mervel eget saotr on November 03, 2008, 04:42:48 PM
Quote from: grow wise, grow ill, and die on November 03, 2008, 08:18:14 AM
Quote from: Kentoc'h mervel eget saotr on November 03, 2008, 07:46:15 AM
Quote from: grow wise, grow ill, and die on November 03, 2008, 07:30:19 AM
will now check if there is sufficient regional polarization to allow for an explanation not consisting of gov't rigging, and also compare with 2006 results...

Only the PF is talking of rigging. Observers and parallel counts are seeing no rigging.

Regional polarization is certainly high enough for (depending on order of counting) such a stunning reversal to be entirely plausible.

Turnout seems down by suspicious amounts though...

The heavily PF urban constituencies reported first, and the solidly MMD rural constituencies reported later.
Probably, yeah.

Still trying to figure out why people voted in droves when Mwanawasa's reelection was fairly assured, but didn't when the presidency was up in the air.

Registration issues is mentioned as a big cause for the awful turnout this year.
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