Who'll be in power in the following countries in 2016? (user search)
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  Who'll be in power in the following countries in 2016? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Who'll be in power in the following countries in 2016?  (Read 4951 times)
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Hashemite
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« on: August 08, 2011, 11:44:32 AM »


LOL

Please get a clue or step being a hack.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2011, 01:59:46 PM »

For my guess on France: infightings, backlash, EU economy and the trend on maintaining conservative legislators and leftist local administrations, despite national leanings.
I know. These are weak reasons. I'm relying more on my instincts. Not on my wishes, thought.

Legislative elections will be held right after the presidential elections in the summer of 2012, and after that would be held after the 2017 presidential elections in the summer of 2017. If the left wins in 2012, it is extremely likely they would win a governing majority unless for some weird reason the voters behave unusually bizarrely and elect, for some reason, a right-wing legislative majority. And assuming the left wins the 2012 legislative elections, there is no reason to assume they wouldn't make the legislature last a full 5 years until after the 2016 prez elections. The synchronization, if it lasts (I see no reason to assume it won't) basically blocks any cohabitation.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #2 on: August 08, 2011, 03:41:09 PM »

Probs this stuff: https://docs.google.com/viewer?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.ipsos.fr%2Fsites%2Fdefault%2Ffiles%2Fattachments%2Frapport_complet_barometre_politique_ipsos_lepoint_18_juillet_2011.pdf

Popular right-wingers were Lagarde, Juppe, Yade, Borloo, Freddie, Kouchner, Fadela, NKM and to a lesser extent; Bertrand, Pecresse, Baroin. This was before the Lagarde scandal and iirc right after she got the IMF job, so probably inflated. Juppe is a competent minister who is relatively well-perceived in a job which isn't overly political as it doesn't deal with domestic politics. Yade, Borloo, Kouchner and Fadela are all ex-ministers turned into mavericks. Fredo Mitterrand is an idiot, but he doesn't do anything too controversial and he's amusing at times. NKM is a well-liked competent minister who doesn't deal with too controversial stuff. Bertrand has always appeared as some good-natured nice little boy. Pecresse is a tad surprising but she hasn't, afaik, done anything too controversial recently. Baroin is also a generally competent and well-perceived guy who hasn't done too much and hasn't been in his current job for long.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2011, 04:35:15 PM »

I'm sure all 5 members of the Libertarian Party of Canada will be pleased to learn that you think that in five year's time they'll be forming a governing coalition.
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