Ohio (PPP): Bunch of HD polls

[kireev]

HD-16

50.78% Clinton
45.09% Trump

HD-23

44.07% Clinton
50.55% Trump

HD-27

44.18% Clinton
50.48% Trump

HD-36

43.84% Clinton
51.40% Trump

HD-37

48.22% Clinton
47.58% Trump

HD-43

44.83% Clinton
51.71% Trump

HD-89

40.79% Clinton
54.12% Trump

Any estimate of what the statewide result would look like given these swings from the PPP polls?

Approximately 8.5% swing towards D which would make OH a pure toss-up.

[kireev]

2016 results


HD-16
-----------------------------------
50.78% Clinton
45.09% Trump

HD-23
-----------------------------------
44.07% Clinton
50.55% Trump

HD-27
-----------------------------------
44.18% Clinton
50.48% Trump

HD-36
-----------------------------------
43.84% Clinton
51.40% Trump

HD-37
-----------------------------------
48.22% Clinton
47.58% Trump

HD-43
-----------------------------------
44.83% Clinton
51.71% Trump

HD-89
-----------------------------------
40.79% Clinton
54.12% Trump

And PPP perfectly weighted all of them by the 2016 results, which makes 8.5% DEM swing quite impressive.