Belarus Revolution Thread

[Beet]

According to a Russia analyst friend of mine, Putin may be sending in the "Little Green Men" either today or tomorrow. I'm not sure if they will be doing so to put down the protests and prop up Lukashenka or if they will pull a Crimea and try to install an even more puppety puppet state in place of the previous semi-puppet state.

ISW agrees and has some hard evidence on it: http://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/warning-russian-hybrid-intervention-belarus-likely-imminent

Lukashenko did a 180 on the Union State in his rhetoric yesterday; I think it's likely he's folding to Putin for support to stay in power.

I knew it. That's why I was against this "revolution" thing to begin with.

[Beet]

Lukashenko's mistake was not shutting down Tsikhanouski's YouTube channel once it became popular. How his security services were not monitoring social media is ridiculous in retrospect. He got complacent simply because he survived for so long. But cases like that of Gadhafi prove longevity is no guarantee. As far as Putin, I don't see how he can allow this. A color revolution right at this doorstep. He can intervene without taking the provocative step of annexation.