Jones, and it’s not even close. NV is Likely D, AL is a Tossup at best for Republicans.
Why do you think that Nevada is non-competitive?
It’s not safe, but Heller is definitely in big trouble for obvious reasons (low approval rating, Clinton state, Democratic year, etc.). Jones has a much better chance of winning since red state voters care more about personality/charisma than voting records, he’s a stronger incumbent than Heller, and we don’t know what the national environment in 2020 will be like.
This is probably the worst analysis I have seen from you.