Does Abortion lower crime rates in the long-run?

[Beet]

This is completely irrelevant. I have already developed a model of crime rates which incorporates the percentage of young males in the population as well as the factors that account for most of the higher crime rate among blacks and others who are more likely to be aborted. Abortion is predominantly relevant insofar as it influences the following.

As noted before:

B0: Intecept crime level, assuming x1-4 are all 0.
x1: Enforcement toughness
x2: Social capital
x3: Economy opportunity
x4: Percent of population of young males
Y: Crime rate

Y = B0 - B1*x1 - B2*x2 - B3*x3 + B4*x4 + alpha

Note that the coefficients are not necessarily linear. The coefficient on economic opportunity for example is a convex function.

[Beet]

This is completely irrelevant. I have already developed a model of crime rates which incorporates the percentage of young males in the population as well as the factors that account for most of the higher crime rate among blacks and others who are more likely to be aborted. Abortion is predominantly relevant insofar as it influences the following.

As noted before:

B0: Intecept crime level, assuming x1-4 are all 0.
x1: Enforcement toughness
x2: Social capital
x3: Economy opportunity
x4: Percent of population of young males
Y: Crime rate

Y = B0 - B1*x1 - B2*x2 - B3*x3 + B4*x4 + alpha

Note that the coefficients are not necessarily linear. The coefficient on economic opportunity for example is a convex function.

Ever tried applying your formula to real data?

Nope. I'm not ready to develop the measures, not familiar with all the necessary statistics, and don't have enough time. Plus, someone has probably done it, or something similiar, before. That said, it would certainly be interesting, as would other further explorations of the notion of social capital in an international context; and the effect of it on things such as economic growth, crime, education, economic equality, and general social stability. Eventually I would like to do a doctorate on this question.

[Beet]

This is completely irrelevant. I have already developed a model of crime rates which incorporates the percentage of young males in the population as well as the factors that account for most of the higher crime rate among blacks and others who are more likely to be aborted. Abortion is predominantly relevant insofar as it influences the following.

As noted before:

B0: Intecept crime level, assuming x1-4 are all 0.
x1: Enforcement toughness
x2: Social capital
x3: Economy opportunity
x4: Percent of population of young males
Y: Crime rate

Y = B0 - B1*x1 - B2*x2 - B3*x3 + B4*x4 + alpha

Note that the coefficients are not necessarily linear. The coefficient on economic opportunity for example is a convex function.

Ever tried applying your formula to real data?

Nope. I'm not ready to develop the measures, not familiar with all the necessary statistics, and don't have enough time. Plus, someone has probably done it, or something similiar, before. That said, it would certainly be interesting, as would other further explorations of the notion of social capital in an international context; and the effect of it on things such as economic growth, crime, education, economic equality, and general social stability. Eventually I would like to do a doctorate on this question.

Then you have an untested hypothesis, which is basically meaningless.

Hello? This is a message board, not an academic journal. I have developed a reasonably comprehensive hypothesis, the most comprehensive so far, which could actually be applied to real data and almost certainly would be confirmed. Also, if you care to offer something better I would be glad to consider.

[Beet]

This is completely irrelevant. I have already developed a model of crime rates which incorporates the percentage of young males in the population as well as the factors that account for most of the higher crime rate among blacks and others who are more likely to be aborted. Abortion is predominantly relevant insofar as it influences the following.

As noted before:

B0: Intecept crime level, assuming x1-4 are all 0.
x1: Enforcement toughness
x2: Social capital
x3: Economy opportunity
x4: Percent of population of young males
Y: Crime rate

Y = B0 - B1*x1 - B2*x2 - B3*x3 + B4*x4 + alpha

Note that the coefficients are not necessarily linear. The coefficient on economic opportunity for example is a convex function.

Ever tried applying your formula to real data?

Nope. I'm not ready to develop the measures, not familiar with all the necessary statistics, and don't have enough time. Plus, someone has probably done it, or something similiar, before. That said, it would certainly be interesting, as would other further explorations of the notion of social capital in an international context; and the effect of it on things such as economic growth, crime, education, economic equality, and general social stability. Eventually I would like to do a doctorate on this question.

Then you have an untested hypothesis, which is basically meaningless.

Hello? This is a message board, not an academic journal. I have developed a reasonably comprehensive hypothesis, the most comprehensive so far, which could actually be applied to real data and almost certainly would be confirmed. Also, if you care to offer something better I would be glad to consider.

You present your formula as if it is the explaination of our crime problems, but you don't have time to determine any of the coefficients nor have you tested it on real data. In other words you have nothing.

All I said was here is a theoretical model which takes into account the effects of abortion. Why are you so concerned about it anyways? Do you have something substantive to say or are you just harping for some strange reason? Answer me that.