FL-Emerson: Biden+3

[Hammy]

Last 26 polls in Florida in 2016;  Clinton led 17, Trump 7, 2 tied.

The polling average is all that matters.  Hillary's peak was never as high as Biden's, and the race was more volatile in 2016.

That said the race is still a tossup, and I think Trump/Biden chances are about even--and the final vote is going to be close to even as well.

[Hammy]

Memerson

This is tiring, for reasons I've laid out elsewhere. But again, a reasonable poll, given that this is Florida.

It doesn't matter what the result is if the data is junk. I called last week's Biden +10 poll in MI last week junk too.

But I see this every time there is an Emerson poll posted. As I've said elsewhere, I don't understand the dislike for it.

MTurk is used for Emerson polling. The problem is with their data collection method:

https://blog.prolific.co/stop-using-mturk-for-research/

Last year, the quality of data collected via MTurk plummeted, all of a sudden. Researchers found that the percentage of poor respondents in MTurk surveys had drastically increased between 2013 and 2018––in some cases up to 25% of respondents were found to be suspicious or fraudulent.