Trump approval ratings thread 1.6

[Hammy]

Wisconsin: Marquette, Dec. 3-8, 800 RV (prior poll Nov. 13-17)

Approve 47 (nc)
Disaspprove 50 (-1)

Strongly approve 32 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 44 (+2)

Impeach and remove Trump: Yes 40 (nc), No 52 (-1)

WHY!? Why do the worst states always have to be the most important! We're so f***ed next year...

I wouldn't take opposing impeach and remove as meaning supporting Trump--I am opposed because it's a bad idea to have an acquittal on the eve of the election, and because I know Pence is far, far worse than Trump because he doesn't wear how incompetent and evil he is on his sleeve.

[Hammy]

Arizona: PPP, Jan. 2-4, 760 voters

Approve 46
Disapprove 52

Biden 46, Trump 46
Trump 47, Sanders 46
Trump 47, Warren 45
Trump 47, Buttigieg 44


Iowa: PPP, Dec, 29-31, 964 voters

Approve 48
Disapprove 48

This seems unusually high for Trump compared to other Iowa polls.

Trump 49, Buttigieg 48
Trump 49, Biden 46
Trump 49, Sanders 44,
Warren 49, Sanders 44

That’s the path for Trump. Never Trumpers come home and Never Hillary voters stay home.

It's ridiculous of you to assume any Democrat is going to sit home this time... especially after what happened four years ago. This election is going to have record turnout.

I'm hoping that's the case, but never underestimate the "my candidate or bust" factor--there are many Biden fans who will stay home if anybody to his left is the nominee, and likewise Bernie fans who will stay home if anybody to the right is the nominee.

[Hammy]

Morning Consult/Politico, Jan. 29-30, 1992 RV (5-day change)

Approve 43 (+2)
Disapprove 54 (-1)

Strongly approve 24 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-2)

Approve of impeachment: Yes 50, No 43

Remove Trump: Yes 50, No 43

Compare this was the NBC/WSJ poll out today that has his strongly approve at 36%. Polls are a bit all over the place recently.

Even though NBC/WSJ has generally been one of Trump's better polls, that strongly approve number seems unusually high.  Their last 5 polls:

Current: 46/51 (strongly 36/44)
Dec: 44/54 (strongly 33/44)
Late Oct: 45/53 (strongly 31/45)
Early Oct: 43/53 (strongly 29/46)
Sep: 45/53 (strongly 33/46)

Source for the current poll: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/6750229-200053-NBCWSJ-January-Poll.html

Could be, as there's been a slight trend upward, the impeachment coverage has taken attention away from the day to day controversies and stupid things Trump is doing, so people who have been paying less attention could be 'well I haven't heard him in the news directly so maybe he's not so bad after all'

[Hammy]

While we're at meaningless statistics.


Obama favs were at ~60% (+25) when he first won. He got 53%.
Trump favs were at ~35% (-25). He got 46%.

Different times. You see what I mean?

This ignores the fact that Hillary's favorables were even lower.

[Hammy]

IBD/TIPP, Feb. 20-29, 908 adults (1-month change)

Approve 41 (-3)
Disapprove 54 (+3)

This is Trump's lowest rating in this poll since November.

Aaaand here it comes.

It's almost as if his "surge" as cons liked to call it wasn't real and nothing but noise and usual fluctuation.

[Hammy]

https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1242660315990495232

OMG. The CNN so-called analysts actually are postulating trumps relocating His official residence to Florida was for electoral reasons rather than taxes, and more importantly that it actually might make some impact on the race. As if more than one undecided voter in a million down there is going to care that his official home is now Mar-A-Lago instead of Trump Tower. What complete and utter maroons.

Did you expect anything even half intelligent from CNN's "analysts"?

[Hammy]

PPP isn't a good pollster and is the only pollster showing Trump approval stagnant or declining with coronavirus, other pollsters have him going up

Not the only one:

Tracking poll has Trump's approval slowly dipping.

OVERAL APPROVAL
3/23: 47/49 (-2)
3/24: 46/51 (-5)
3/25: 46/52 (-6)

CORONAVIRUS APPROVAL
3/23: 52/42 (+10)
3/24: 52/43 (+9)
3/25: 48/48 (=)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F03.25.20.pdf

His bump, as I expected, was in reaction to things he promised. Had he followed through--increased testing, forcing manufacturing of more masks/supplies, eliminating cost for coronavirus testing/care, etc--then his handling would've deserved approval, at least the 'here and now' part of it.

The problem for him is that he did none of those and in fact has reversed course on every one of them (surprise surprise) and is talking now about his fantasy timeline that he wants to impose in the real world--this combined with the increasing realization of people who had their heads buried in the sand until now that the situation is increasingly dire, and could've been prevented, means reality is setting in and his approvals are coming back down.

[Hammy]

Trump isnt winning reelection unless he allows testing and open up businesses in the right way. It is ridiculous that Libraries and movies and salons are still closed.

Stadiums and sports and schools and bars should remain closed

Why would schools stay closed while movie theaters open? It makes no sense.

Becauset entitled people want their luxuries at the expense of everyone else's safety and health--that's all reopening the economy has ever been about.

[Hammy]

YouGov poll for Missouri-

Approve: 50% (+2)
Disapprove: 48%

https://www.slu.edu/research/research-institute/big-ideas/slu-poll/june-2020-poll/trump-biden.php

When you're nearly negative approval in *Missouri*, a Trump +19 state...

The exit polls will be interesting. I wouldn't be surprised to see a lot of people who disapprove of Trump but voted for him anyway.

To be fair, I disapproved of Obama in 2012 and still voted for him, my disapproval was that he didn't do as much as he could have and should have during 2009-11.