Rate RI-02nd

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

A Boston Globe poll taken just days ago found Fung (R) leading Magaziner (D) 45-39% and up by even more against other Democrats. That was enough for Cook and RCP to move the race to a tossup.

This race is a perfect storm for Republicans and it is nothing short of a tossup.

I've been sounding the alarm on this forum for a while now but it's mainly fallen on deaf ears. This could very well be the OK-05 of 2022.

[Bernie Derangement Syndrome Haver]

Factors in Fung's favor, aside from the fact that 2022 is a good environment for Republicans and the seat is an open seat:

-He is the popular former mayor of the largest city located entirely within the district, which normally votes for Democrats
-The large WWC population in the district, as well as the fact that much of the Latino parts of Providence are in the district compared to the whiter, more educated, and more progressive parts of the city in the 1st. This combined with the fact that most of rural RI is in the district creates some strong R trends, although highly educated suburban areas on the coast could offset part of this
-He will coast to the nomination whereas the Democratic field is more splintered
-Magaziner does not live in the district
-Fung has higher name recognition than any Democrat in the race