TX (UT/Tyler): Trump +4 (user search)
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  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  TX (UT/Tyler): Trump +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX (UT/Tyler): Trump +4  (Read 1595 times)
wbrocks67
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Posts: 23,051


« on: February 29, 2024, 03:25:20 PM »

Trump (R) 46%
Biden (D) 42%
Someone else 6%
Not sure 5%

Biden approval 40/56 (-16)
Trump fav 44/51 (-8)

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20240229_TX_UTTyler.pdf
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 23,051


« Reply #1 on: February 29, 2024, 03:40:23 PM »

So polls want to tell us Biden is doing better in Texas than Michigan, Pennsylvania and Georgia? C'mon, man.

It's wild that the average of the most recent 4 TX polls is Trump +7, while we're getting closer to that average (or exceeding it) in NC, GA, AZ, NV. Something is clearly off here.

Should note though that, like PA, the majority of recent TX polls are from in-state pollsters. Only 1 from Emerson (and none from Morning Consult, etc.)
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