Emerson NC Trump +3 (user search)
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May 28, 2024, 03:54:18 PM
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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election
  2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  Emerson NC Trump +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Emerson NC Trump +3  (Read 377 times)
wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,762


« on: February 21, 2024, 09:28:54 AM »

I don't know how Biden supporters cope with the RFK Jr-included numbers in all of these polls. They always act like those numbers don't exist so that they can focus on the head-to-head.

In the RFK Jr-included poll here - even in an extremely favorable scenario where the remaining 10% breaks 80% for Biden, 10% Trump, and 10% RFK Jr, then Biden still loses by 2%

Because these are incredibly unrealistic. Even if you average all the polls, RFK splits close to 50/50 from Biden/Trump. Trump only losing 1% in a multi-way compared to Biden losing 7% is just wildly out of step.
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