MS-GOV (PPP/DGA): Reeves +1

[wbrocks67]

Reeves (R) 46%
Presley (D) 45%
Undecided 10%

Reeves fav: 33/51 (-18)
Presley fav: 36/31 (+5)

https://mississippitoday.org/2023/10/23/governors-race-poll-tate-reeves-brandon-presley/

[wbrocks67]

One would suspect that a lot of the undecideds likely go to Reeves, but here they are 2/68 favorable for Reeves, so could get interesting...

[wbrocks67]

If PPP still finds Reeves ahead (even if it's just by 1), then it's hard to see Pressley winning. I'm still going to guess that Reeves wins by 7-8%.

Not sure why there's this assumption that PPP is a bad pollster. They've been on and off just like most in the past few years, but nothing egregious.

[wbrocks67]

What is the story here that is making this election so close?

I think just a combo of Reeves being pretty unpopular and Presley being an above average candidate

[wbrocks67]

What is the story here that is making this election so close?

I think just a combo of Reeves being pretty unpopular and Presley being an above average candidate

What did Reeves do to be so unpopular?

There was a pretty big welfare scandal he was involved in for one: https://mississippitoday.org/2023/08/21/tate-reeves-welfare-scandal-involvement/

Also seems he's been pretty bad on education as well
https://mississippitoday.org/2023/03/13/tate-reeves-public-education-tweet/

[wbrocks67]

It's interesting; Presley seems to be taking the Beshear route a bit and focusing more on the kitchen table issues, while Reeves seems to be doing the Cameron route with continuing to push mainly the culture wars stuff.