NY SLINGSHOT STRATEGY GOV HOCHUL +6

[wbrocks67]

And what do we know about this pollster?

Fairly new, upstart Democratic firm that aligns with the progressive left.

Looks like this sample is 33% conservative, 27% liberal, which kind of seems to point to more nonresponse bias, no?

It really feels like all of these samples are kind of whack, or Democrats suddenly don't want to vote this year in New York lol.

(2018 and 2020 were both Liberal+10 on conservative, per exit polls)

[wbrocks67]

To be fair, the only poll from what I can tell recently that actually had a somewhat realistic party ID sample was the Siena +11 poll. (would have to take a look at the Civiqs/Bold Decisions ones)

Most of the ones that have shown it closer, like this, SurveyUSA, Q-Pac, etc. have had oddly more GOP samples, but like Pollster said before, a lot of this seems likely towards nonresponse bias.

(i.e. the SurveyUSA sample in late August was over D+20 and the October sample was D+8)

[wbrocks67]

Yeah, she's pretty awful. I hope she doesn't run for another term after this.

I don't really understand some people who don't like her - what has she even done to make people have such strong opinions? She seems like she's just been a mainstream normal Dem up to this point.