AZ GOV Trafalgar Lake +3

[wbrocks67]

Last traffy poll in mid September had Lake up 50-46, so this is basically stagnant.

From Lake +4.4 to Lake +2.8 - Hobbsmentum!

Last time:
Lake 50.0%
Hobbs 45.6%

This time:
Lake 49.2%
Hobbs 46.4%

[wbrocks67]

If Republican internals have this as Lean R and the senate race as Tilt D, its probably tilt R and Lean D.

Trafalgar isn't a R internal.

This was for The Daily Wire, so it might as well be lol

[wbrocks67]

I've seen enough, moving this from Tossup to Lean R.

Seems like there's been a swing towards Lake lately, which is kind of depressing. I don't think the race will be decided by a huge margin, but Lake is for sure favored.

This is a swing towards Hobbs since their last poll lol

[wbrocks67]

I've seen enough, moving this from Tossup to Lean R.

Seems like there's been a swing towards Lake lately, which is kind of depressing. I don't think the race will be decided by a huge margin, but Lake is for sure favored.

This is a swing towards Hobbs since their last poll lol

Lake has been leading all recent polls though. I think she's more likely to win at this point; Hobbs also seems to run an underwhelming campaign. Just hope it won't sink Kelly as well.

There was literally just a Hobbs poll this week that her leading.