So, Biden's approval has been around 50-50 in several NH polls, and the recent VA poll that came out does make me think Biden's approval is lower than the polls indicate, which makes sense given Americans hate the government, generally. Anyways, this has all of the makings of a Lean R race, unpopular incumbent who is almost at 50% disapproval, popular incumbent Governor, and a president whose approval rating does seem to be lower than one would expect, at least in New Hampshire. Lean R honestly, and easily the easiest GOP pickup opportunity.
Eh, or the polls are off. Shaheen just won by like 15% and her approval is +1? Doesn't jive either.