NH-Saint Anselm College: Hassan underwater, Sununu remains popular

[MT Treasurer]

These are only favorability/approval numbers and GCB, no specific R-candidate vs. D-candidate match-ups.

GENERIC BALLOT

44% Will vote for Democratic candidate in 2022
43% Will vote for Republican candidate in 2022

BIDEN APPROVAL

50% Disapprove
49% Approve

BIDEN FAVORABILITY

50% Unfavorable
49% Favorable

HASSAN APPROVAL

49% Disapprove
43% Approve

HASSAN FAVORABILITY

49% Unfavorable
45% Favorable

SUNUNU APPROVAL

68% Approve
30% Disapprove

SUNUNU FAVORABILITY

67% Favorable
31% Unfavorable

PAPPAS APPROVAL

42% Approve
39% Dispprove

KUSTER APPROVAL

43% Approve
41% Disapprove

SHAHEEN APPROVAL

47% Approve
46% Disapprove

40- to 50-point gender gaps for nearly all of these, unsurprisingly (the Pappas numbers are somewhat of an exception to this). Case in point: Hassan approval among men is -27 (33/60) vs. +13 among women (52/39). Kuster approval among men stands at -24 (32/56) vs. +25 among women (53/28).

https://www.anselm.edu/new-hampshire-institute-politics/new-poll-saint-anselm-college-survey-center-finds-declining

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Hassan will win it's gonna be married, the Economy will be better next yr, once we get a Gov candidate

[S019]

So, Biden's approval has been around 50-50 in several NH polls, and the recent VA poll that came out does make me think Biden's approval is lower than the polls indicate, which makes sense given Americans hate the government, generally. Anyways, this has all of the makings of a Lean R race, unpopular incumbent who is almost at 50% disapproval, popular incumbent Governor, and a president whose approval rating does seem to be lower than one would expect, at least in New Hampshire. Lean R honestly, and easily the easiest GOP pickup opportunity.

[wbrocks67]

So, Biden's approval has been around 50-50 in several NH polls, and the recent VA poll that came out does make me think Biden's approval is lower than the polls indicate, which makes sense given Americans hate the government, generally. Anyways, this has all of the makings of a Lean R race, unpopular incumbent who is almost at 50% disapproval, popular incumbent Governor, and a president whose approval rating does seem to be lower than one would expect, at least in New Hampshire. Lean R honestly, and easily the easiest GOP pickup opportunity.

Eh, or the polls are off. Shaheen just won by like 15% and her approval is +1? Doesn't jive either.

[Roll Roons]

So, Biden's approval has been around 50-50 in several NH polls, and the recent VA poll that came out does make me think Biden's approval is lower than the polls indicate, which makes sense given Americans hate the government, generally. Anyways, this has all of the makings of a Lean R race, unpopular incumbent who is almost at 50% disapproval, popular incumbent Governor, and a president whose approval rating does seem to be lower than one would expect, at least in New Hampshire. Lean R honestly, and easily the easiest GOP pickup opportunity.

Eh, or the polls are off. Shaheen just won by like 15% and her approval is +1? Doesn't jive either.

Do you really just assume that every poll that's good for Democrats must be accurate and that any with even a slightly favorable result for Republicans is junk? Come on.

[SnowLabrador]

Lean R, and that's being generous to Hassan.

[S019]

Lean R, and that's being generous to Hassan.

I wouldn't go this far yet, but yeah this could slip into Likely territory by the end of this year or the beginning of next if this continues.

[Sir Mohamed]

Just poll the race 1-on-1 and not this kind of stuff.

[libertpaulian]

So, do you still stick by your Blue Hampshire theory?

[Woody]

If she didn't vote like she represented San Francisco this wouldn't have happened to her.

[wbrocks67]

So, Biden's approval has been around 50-50 in several NH polls, and the recent VA poll that came out does make me think Biden's approval is lower than the polls indicate, which makes sense given Americans hate the government, generally. Anyways, this has all of the makings of a Lean R race, unpopular incumbent who is almost at 50% disapproval, popular incumbent Governor, and a president whose approval rating does seem to be lower than one would expect, at least in New Hampshire. Lean R honestly, and easily the easiest GOP pickup opportunity.

Eh, or the polls are off. Shaheen just won by like 15% and her approval is +1? Doesn't jive either.

Do you really just assume that every poll that's good for Democrats must be accurate and that any with even a slightly favorable result for Republicans is junk? Come on.

You honestly believe that someone who just won by 15% has a +1 approval 8 months after the election? That's just common sense. Doesn't matter who it is, red or blue.

[Sir Mohamed]

If she didn't vote like she represented San Francisco this wouldn't have happened to her.

Happened? The only poll that matters is election day.

[Mail-order President]

Unstoppable Sununu will have his Senate seat.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Unstoppable Sununu will have his Senate seat.

Lol it's 500 days til Election, Biden has the same exact Approvals as he did on Election night, in a 52/48 SEN, Dems will win NH, as soon as Molly Kelly or we find out whom our Gubernatorial nominee is, that will help Hassan alot

[SnowLabrador]

So, Biden's approval has been around 50-50 in several NH polls, and the recent VA poll that came out does make me think Biden's approval is lower than the polls indicate, which makes sense given Americans hate the government, generally. Anyways, this has all of the makings of a Lean R race, unpopular incumbent who is almost at 50% disapproval, popular incumbent Governor, and a president whose approval rating does seem to be lower than one would expect, at least in New Hampshire. Lean R honestly, and easily the easiest GOP pickup opportunity.

Eh, or the polls are off. Shaheen just won by like 15% and her approval is +1? Doesn't jive either.

Do you really just assume that every poll that's good for Democrats must be accurate and that any with even a slightly favorable result for Republicans is junk? Come on.

You honestly believe that someone who just won by 15% has a +1 approval 8 months after the election? That's just common sense. Doesn't matter who it is, red or blue.

To be fair, Corky Messner was a very weak opponent.

[Buffalo Mayor Young Kim]

Notably, Hassan is significantly lower than Shaheen.
How long is it going to take for politicians to learn performative centrism doesn’t actually help you?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Notably, Hassan is significantly lower than Shaheen.
How long is it going to take for politicians to learn performative centrism doesn’t actually help you?

Hassan voted against the Minimum wage and the R state Legislature sent SUNUNU a bill to lift the Minimum wage, he vetoed it, Minimum wage is popular in NH, and Maggie is a Freshman, Shaheen has been in Senate since 2008, this is her forth term

Hassan is just as vulnerable as Gretchen Whitmer whom is losing to Craig

Also OR is problematic, Jessica Gomez is a mainstream Knute R, if it wasn't for incumbency, Brown would have lost to Knute in 2018

[here2view]

Tilt R as of now

[NewYorkExpress]

Tilt R with Sununu, Tossup with Ayotte, Likely D with any other Republican.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt R with Sununu, Tossup with Ayotte, Likely D with any other Republican.

Lol Biden has the same Approvals as he had on Election night, we will win NH , WI, PA regardless in 500 days, it's GA that's problematic in a Runoff

Cook ratings are off WI in 2018 was Lean R with Walker until 1 mnth before Election night