Record Turnout and Biden Still Won (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 18, 2024, 09:16:56 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  Record Turnout and Biden Still Won (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Record Turnout and Biden Still Won  (Read 634 times)
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,254


« on: November 12, 2020, 09:48:28 AM »

So let's talk about the implications of this. There is stuff for both sides to be happy about.

Record turnout on both sides. Biden won the presidency by, what will likely be a pretty big margin in the end (~4.5-5%) despite MEGA GOP turnout.

Meanwhile, it appears House and Senate GOP members benefited from that record GOP turnout.

Judging by the Party ID/lean in state exit polls - though while these exit polls are wonky this year - still appears that the GOP turned out even more DEM voters. Which then makes it easy to see why Dem house members underperformed. Especially if Republicans came out who didn't like Trump but still wanted GOP downballot.

Was this the "ground game" factor? In a normal year with Dems knocking on doors and organizing out and about the last 5-6 months, would Biden's lead be closer to the polls? (national average of +7/8)

Given that there WAS record turnout and GOP did make gains downballot, and Biden was still able to get a sizeable win, it's clear this was a true repudiation of Trumpism, however.
Logged
wbrocks67
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,254


« Reply #1 on: November 12, 2020, 09:52:04 AM »

I posted another thread about this, but both sides had the turnout to landslide, they just largely cancelled eachother out.

Is it quite possible that Biden is ahead also b/c of Independents siding with him?

Likewise, is it likely that Indies went Biden majority up ballot, but GOP majority downballot?
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.02 seconds with 13 queries.