2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread

[wbrocks67]

North Carolina looks like recount territory.

Esp since they can count votes until 11/12

[wbrocks67]

Looks like Trump's on track to get a comfortable win in Ohio.

Depends on where the votes are

all of the major Blue areas are only like 40-60% in

[wbrocks67]

Scranton Joe lol.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1323825009320742915?s=19

Meanwhile the early vote out of Montco is literally nearly as blue as Philly was.

[wbrocks67]

If Trump has improved by 15% with hispanics like the exit polls and results show, Biden is not winning Arizona.

This will come down to PA, and I still think Joe has the edge there.

I mean he did better in FL, but not necessarily in AZ/NV/NM/CA

[wbrocks67]

Looks like most of the R counties have everything nearly in in OH but blue areas still lots out.

[wbrocks67]

Looking at PA, I'm feel ok about it because the red areas seem to have more in than the blue areas, along with the lack of early vote counting.

Yeah, a bunch of super red counties have 60,70,80% in and most blue counties have nothing.

[wbrocks67]

The thing with GA is, I assume nearly all red counties are going to keep reporting in, and then mostly blue are going to come in later.

[wbrocks67]

georgia is more disappointing than fl for dems

Theres like nothing from the blue areas in.

[wbrocks67]

If you want to see real carnage, look at Lackawanna.

.... its only Election Day

[wbrocks67]

I think Biden can still pull it out in North Carolina.

he's down 40k but the outstanding vote appears to be basically ONLY in Dem counties at this point.

and they are accepting votes until 11/12...

[wbrocks67]

A 3.5% lead is not a tight race in Florida.  Just call it already. 

I think there's still a lot of absentees out? I mean I don't think there's enough to overcome obviously, but I would assume they skew Dem

[wbrocks67]

Trump won Delaware County Ohio by about 5 points. Does anyone have any insight on whether that's a good or bad sign for Biden in Michigan and Pennsylvania?

Well that’s a Biden +10 swing, so a good sign.

Good sign, since Biden just needs to improve by 1 in WI, MI, and PA to win them lol.

[wbrocks67]

https://twitter.com/JonathanTamari/status/1323831202919362560

Yeah, it looks like most counties (esp red) are reporting election day votes, while nearly all mail ins are out.

[wbrocks67]

Trump has this game won unless Biden can win PA + WI.

That's, uh, a really big "unless".

WI, maybe, but PA is starting to run out of votes left to catch up, unless the mail in is predominantly Democrat.

It would appear the entire election will come down to PA.

All of the red counties are reporting nearly all results from election day. 2.2MIL mail ballots are left to count, and they lean Dem.

[wbrocks67]

W H E E Z E

https://twitter.com/pcal051/status/1323832944792883200

this seems unlikely given the swings we've seen in the other exit polls in WI, MI, PA, MN, IA, TX, etc

[wbrocks67]

Trump +7.6
https://twitter.com/spectatorindex/status/1323837525186674689?s=20

basically maxing out all the red areas though, with lots of blue still out.

[wbrocks67]

Joe Biden won NH, a close Clinton state.

the North White shift is real.

[wbrocks67]

It really feels like this. Might not change states but the margins will likely get decently tighter. NC is gonna be a mess though, with 9 more days to count.

https://twitter.com/DaveLeeFT/status/1323831678947618816

[wbrocks67]

This seems particularly important.

https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1323815213771214849

[wbrocks67]

There is a ton of vote still outstanding in Milwaukee.

I have hope. Maybe a fool's hope, but hope.

Is any of the mail ballots counted in WI?

[wbrocks67]

Did Mark Kelly officially win?

[wbrocks67]

(NYT) Lackawanna County, PA just flipped to Biden +8 with about 95% of the vote reported. 

Is it a true 95% though? Hillary won here by 4 though, so enough for Biden

[wbrocks67]

New Jersey, America's suburb, is Biden +22 right now. Though they seem to have stalled at 57% despite them supposed to be getting all ballots counted on election night (or most)

[wbrocks67]

There're lots of room for Biden to win votes in PA.

The vote in Montco was insane. I'm not sure if it was partial mail or partial E-Day, but it was nearly as Dem as *philadelphia county*

[wbrocks67]

What's left in GA? Are we still waiting for ATL?

Yes, a ton of ATL area is still out