OH - Pulse Opinion Research/Rasmussen Reports: Biden +4%

[wbrocks67]

OK wow that is something.  And coming right after a Biden +2 poll in PA?!

TBH, most of the recent Pennsylvania polling has been junk.

[wbrocks67]

Perhaps this poll was intentionally put out there by people associated with the Trump campaign to lure Biden to contest and place more resources into Ohio. With the general election in full swing I couldn't help but see R internal polls like this being used for some strategic purpose (otherwise why release them)

Biden's campaign has been spending $$ in OH for months now though. If anything, while I don't think Biden is really up 4, it could be he IS doing better in OH b/c he has been up on the air for months

[wbrocks67]

So, Biden is doing 2% better here than in PA. Something is rotten in the state of polling, but I’m not quite sure what.

I think we have a combo of a lot of pollsters not sure how to weight this year. Do they weight with no education, like the mistake in 2016? Then you have some who have reweighted by education, but are also reweighting the electorate to look like it did in 2016, when that's incredibly unlikely.