AZ-OHPI: Biden +4 (user search)
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  AZ-OHPI: Biden +4 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-OHPI: Biden +4  (Read 1955 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: August 10, 2020, 11:09:59 AM »

AZ polls also underestimate Dems too, can't forget that.

Not to mention, this particular pollster also heavily underestimated them in 2018 too.
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wbrocks67
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Posts: 22,901


« Reply #1 on: August 10, 2020, 11:22:16 AM »

AZ polls also underestimate Dems too, can't forget that.

Not to mention, this particular pollster also heavily underestimated them in 2018 too.

I wouldn’t say it was a huge underestimate, OHPI had Mcsally up 1% in their last poll, she lost by 2.4%, a 3.4% miss, Des Moines had a bigger miss in Iowa, had Hubbell up 2%, lost by 2.7%, a 4.7% miss and a lot of other pollsters, Fox News, NBC/Marist, Quinnipiac were off by huge margins, even double digits in multiple races.

This particular pollster though is R-leaning in history. A 3.4% miss would give Biden +7.4 in AZ, which would be pretty huge.
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