FL-Quinnipiac: Biden+13

[wbrocks67]

+13 is probably a big stretch, but FL has been polling VERY well for Biden, with more than a bunch of polls in the 6-8 range for him. I think we may be underestimating how badly Trump/DeSantis are screwing the virus up in places like this.

And this poll is underselling Bidens margins, considering most of the undecided/other vote comes from young people and black voters

[wbrocks67]

Do people like to ignore that Quinnipiac was actually dead on in their last poll of FL in 2016? Yes, 2018 was a misstep for them, but it also could've just been an anomaly. Their last poll in 2016 had the race tied.

[wbrocks67]

Again: Quinnipiac was right on the mpney in FL in 2016. People need to stop not believing them because they messed up one time in 2018.

[wbrocks67]

+13 is probably a big stretch, but FL has been polling VERY well for Biden, with more than a bunch of polls in the 6-8 range for him. I think we may be underestimating how badly Trump/DeSantis are screwing the virus up in places like this.

And this poll is underselling Bidens margins, considering most of the undecided/other vote comes from young people and black voters

No.

how is not? most of the undecided vote is among black voters (they have 10%+ undecided), and the 18-34 vote has "12% other" which also will likely not bear out.

[wbrocks67]

+13 is probably a big stretch, but FL has been polling VERY well for Biden, with more than a bunch of polls in the 6-8 range for him. I think we may be underestimating how badly Trump/DeSantis are screwing the virus up in places like this.

And this poll is underselling Bidens margins, considering most of the undecided/other vote comes from young people and black voters

No.

how is not? most of the undecided vote is among black voters (they have 10%+ undecided), and the 18-34 vote has "12% other" which also will likely not bear out.

There's no way a poll showing Biden up by 13 in Florida is understating his lead.  Period.

you're generally true, but i'm just stating that by the facts of this poll - the undecideds/other demographic make-up favors Biden.