FL-Quinnipiac: Biden+13
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  FL-Quinnipiac: Biden+13		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: FL-Quinnipiac: Biden+13  (Read 5247 times)
n1240
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« on: July 23, 2020, 01:01:28 PM »
https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=3668

Biden 51
Trump 38

July 16-20, 924 RV
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Devout Centrist
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« Reply #1 on: July 23, 2020, 01:01:52 PM »
Not sure I buy this, but the trend is good.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: July 23, 2020, 01:02:00 PM »
Quinnipiac is awful in Florida, but I could see Biden being at 51 right now.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #3 on: July 23, 2020, 01:03:02 PM »
Cut this lead in half and you're about where all other pollsters see the race.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #4 on: July 23, 2020, 01:04:42 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 23, 2020, 01:02:00 PM
Quinnipiac is awful in Florida, but I could see Biden being at 51 right now.

Q-Pac was actually very good in FL prior to 2018, so I can see 2018 being a one-off blunder by them.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #5 on: July 23, 2020, 01:05:13 PM »
b-b-b-but Nate Silver told me Biden's polls were collapsing Cry
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #6 on: July 23, 2020, 01:05:59 PM »
+13 is probably a big stretch, but FL has been polling VERY well for Biden, with more than a bunch of polls in the 6-8 range for him. I think we may be underestimating how badly Trump/DeSantis are screwing the virus up in places like this.

And this poll is underselling Bidens margins, considering most of the undecided/other vote comes from young people and black voters
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Buzz
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« Reply #7 on: July 23, 2020, 01:07:17 PM »
When we look back in 3 months, Q-PAC is going to look embarrassing.  Heavy D bias.  Biden is likely leading by a decent margin, but 13 points?? GTFO with this trash
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: July 23, 2020, 01:09:58 PM »
Quote from: ON Progressive on July 23, 2020, 01:04:42 PM
Quote from: Gass3268 on July 23, 2020, 01:02:00 PM
Quinnipiac is awful in Florida, but I could see Biden being at 51 right now.

Q-Pac was actually very good in FL prior to 2018, so I can see 2018 being a one-off blunder by them.

Even in 2018 they never showed leads this big for the Democrats. Their polls were generally in the +7 range; the biggest lead ever was Gillum +9 in September.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #9 on: July 23, 2020, 01:10:55 PM »
Turns out the olds don't like being told to die quickly by the POTUS.
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n1240
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« Reply #10 on: July 23, 2020, 01:11:23 PM »


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The Mikado
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« Reply #11 on: July 23, 2020, 01:12:25 PM »
DeSantis Approval 41-52
Trump Approval 40-58
Scott Approval 41-44
Rubio Approval 40-44
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #12 on: July 23, 2020, 01:13:44 PM »
Encouraging that DeSantis’s numbers are finally starting to go underwater.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #13 on: July 23, 2020, 01:14:17 PM »
Q had Florida as 46-42 Biden in April.
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Roll Roons
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« Reply #14 on: July 23, 2020, 01:14:25 PM »
Holy crap. I'll believe it when I see it, given how Florida has such a long history of being tantalizing for Democrats in polls and then burning them when it comes to the actual vote, but Biden is a great position.
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soundchaser
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« Reply #15 on: July 23, 2020, 01:15:12 PM »
2012 map plus Arizona, anyone?
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Person Man
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« Reply #16 on: July 23, 2020, 01:15:16 PM »
This kind of counteracts Trafalgar bs. This poll is definitely bs, too. It would still be enough to believe that the only way Trump carrier Florida is that the Democrat's ground game is totally JV. Lucky for Trump, the FDP is JV.

If Trump was up by half this much this close, the Democrats would be conceding that Florida has become a red state.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #17 on: July 23, 2020, 01:15:45 PM »
FL polls should be treated with gloves and masks after their 2018 herding failure, but the trend there is awesome.
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Devils30
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« Reply #18 on: July 23, 2020, 01:16:25 PM »
2 things can both be true:

1) Biden is not up by 13% or even double-digits

2) Trump is in big trouble in Florida
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Person Man
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« Reply #19 on: July 23, 2020, 01:16:34 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on July 23, 2020, 01:15:45 PM
FL polls should be treated with gloves and masks after their 2018 herding failure, but the trend there is awesome.

Either that or people just didn't vote. I know of one person who thought it was dumb and didn't vote in 2018. He wasn't uneducated, either.
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TrendsareUsuallyReal
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« Reply #20 on: July 23, 2020, 01:17:28 PM »

LMAO no, IA and OH aren’t going blue while GA, NC, and NE-2 stay red, and probably even Texas
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tagimaucia
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« Reply #21 on: July 23, 2020, 01:18:51 PM »
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on July 23, 2020, 01:05:13 PM
b-b-b-but Nate Silver told me Biden's polls were collapsing Cry

Is it me or is the only overall change in polls recently that national online polls are showing a bit of a decline for Biden?  State polls and live-caller national polls generally seem to be pretty much saying the exact same thing that they have for the last couple months.  I have no idea why that would be though.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #22 on: July 23, 2020, 01:20:02 PM »
This poll is almost certainly an outlier, but even taking that into account, I feel comfortable saying Florida is Lean Biden.
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Storr
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« Reply #23 on: July 23, 2020, 01:21:18 PM »
The last time anyone won Florida by double digits was Poppy Bush in 1988 where he won it by 22.4
 points.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #24 on: July 23, 2020, 01:22:23 PM »
Quote from: tagimaucia on July 23, 2020, 01:18:51 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on July 23, 2020, 01:05:13 PM
b-b-b-but Nate Silver told me Biden's polls were collapsing Cry

Is it me or is the only overall change in polls recently that national online polls are showing a bit of a decline for Biden?  State polls and live-caller national polls generally seem to be pretty much saying the exact same thing that they have for the last couple months.  I have no idea why that would be though.

It's not just you.  Harry Enten has commented on it and said he may write an article on it soon.
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