Trump approval ratings thread 1.6 (user search)
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  Trump approval ratings thread 1.6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump approval ratings thread 1.6  (Read 170435 times)
wbrocks67
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« Reply #125 on: May 14, 2020, 02:48:32 PM »
NEW JERSEY
Rutgers-Eagleton

Trump approval: 37/63 (-26)

https://www.rutgers.edu/news/rutgers-eagleton-poll-slight-majority-support-voting-mail-new-jerseys-july-primary-most

Trump lost NJ by 14 in 2016.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #126 on: May 15, 2020, 08:05:02 AM »
Navigator Tracking Survey

Trump job approval: 42/56 (-14)
Trump virus approval: 41/56 (-15)
Trump health care approval: 40/54 (-14)
Trump economy approval: 48/49 (-1)

https://navigatorresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/Navigator-Daily-Tracker-Topline-F05.14.20.pdf
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #127 on: May 16, 2020, 10:24:34 AM »
If this is real, then Gallup is trash. I'm not sure what their new methodology is, but having Trump at +1 approval when he's at -7/8 nationally is embarrassing.

https://twitter.com/beardedcrank/status/1261378944164651008
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #128 on: May 17, 2020, 08:59:42 AM »
Quote from: #Klobmentum on May 16, 2020, 02:35:09 PM
Yeah, their methodology is sound. I just found it interesting how their polls have changed since the beginning of Trump's presidency. In theory, the changes Gallup made shouldn't effect Trump's numbers. However, its hard not to notice how their polling has gotten significantly friendlier to Trump since January when they did switch up their methods.

I feel like someone looked into the crosstabs and found a lobsided Republican sample a few months go when they first started showing Trump with major gains so I wouldn't be surprised if that was it too.

Not to mention, if that tweet is correct and their 18-34 sample has Trump at nearly 50% approval. Like cmon now.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #129 on: May 17, 2020, 09:27:42 AM »
Found the Gallup crosstabs:

White: 57/41
Nonwhte: 34/62
18-34: 45/51
35-54: 47/49
55+: 53/46
Indies: 46/48

Clearly the White and Nonwhites are way too high, and the 18-34 section is a joke.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #130 on: May 20, 2020, 05:29:01 AM »
Morning Consult, May 15-18

Trump approval: 41/55

https://www.politico.com/f/?id=00000172-2f32-dc3e-aff6-2fbf64d40000
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #131 on: May 22, 2020, 05:45:59 AM »
Trump's approval on the handling of the virus continues to collapse in new ABC/Ipsos poll

March 11-12: 43/55 (-12)
March 18-19: 55/43 (+12)
April 1-2: 47/52 (-5)
April 8-9: 44/55 (-11)
April 15-16: 44/54 (-10)
April 29-30: 42/57 (-15)
May 6-7: 42/57 (-15)
May 20-21: 39/60 (-21)

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/black-americans-latinos-times-died-covid-19-poll/story?id=70794789
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #132 on: May 22, 2020, 08:50:30 AM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on May 22, 2020, 07:08:15 AM
Kaiser Family Foundation, May 13-18, 1189 adults (change from late March)

Approve 46 (-2)
Disapprove 52 (+3)

Virus handling: Approve 46 (-4), Disapprove 52 (+5)

Among 970 RV:

Biden 43, Trump 41

Since when does this poll have somewhat of a Trump-house effect?

EDIT: this has him (right now) at *+17* on the Economy and only -6 on health care. Is this sample screwed up or something?
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #133 on: May 22, 2020, 09:12:27 AM »
Civiqs tracking poll - 5/19

Trump overall job approval: 42/55 (-13)

Arizona: 43/55 (-12)
Colorado: 38/59 (-21)
Florida: 47/51 (-4)
Georgia 45/51 (-6)
Iowa: 47/49 (-2)
Maine: 37/60 (-23)
Michigan: 42/54 (-12)
Minnesota: 42/55 (-13)
Montana: 50/47 (+3)
Nevada: 39/58 (-19)
New Hampshire: 41/54 (-13)
New Mexico: 47/50 (-3)
North Carolina: 45/52 (-7)
Ohio: 49/48 (+1)
Pennsylvania: 44/52 (-8)
South Carolina: 50/46 (+4)
Texas: 50/47 (+3)
Virginia: 39/58 (-19)
Wisconsin: 45/52 (-7)

https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #134 on: May 23, 2020, 08:58:23 AM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on May 22, 2020, 08:29:46 PM
Quote from: Cory Booker on May 22, 2020, 03:02:53 PM
This is the samething SN2903 keeps talking about but Biden still leads Trump by 5 or more

Polls aren’t predictive. You’d be best served by not paying attention to them until Sept/Oct.

That's not true at all, but sure.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #135 on: May 29, 2020, 08:57:08 AM »
Civiqs 5/26

Trump overall approval: 42/55 (-13)

Arizona: 42/56 (-14)
Colorado: 38/59 (-21)
Florida: 46/51 (-5)
Georgia: 45/51 (-6)
Iowa: 47/51 (-4)
Michigan: 42/55 (-13)
Minnesota: 41/57 (-16)
Montana: 50/48 (+2)
Nevada: 39/58 (-19)
New Hampshire: 38/57 (-19)
New Mexico: 47/50 (-3)
North Carolina: 45/53 (-8)
Ohio: 49/48 (+1)
Pennsylvania: 44/52 (-8)
South Carolina: 51/47 (+4)
Texas: 49/48 (+1)
Virginia: 39/58 (-19)
Wisconsin: 45/53 (-8)

https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true

Still a weird sample from NM
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #136 on: May 29, 2020, 09:53:28 AM »
Oof - BK Strategies (R internal) has new poll out that only has Trump's favorables at 49/48 in INDIANA:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/20200529_IN.pdf
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #137 on: May 31, 2020, 03:43:25 PM »

It's interesting - ABC/Wapo used to lean on the "worse for Trump" side but lately they've been rosier for him than others.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #138 on: June 05, 2020, 05:54:28 AM »
Trump's approval on the handling of Floyd situation & protests is cratering BIGLY.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #139 on: June 05, 2020, 08:05:32 PM »

omg, +8 on handling the protests and riots? wowzers. outlier is an understatement when the 3 other polls we've gotten this week literally have him -23, -23, and -34.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #140 on: June 08, 2020, 06:28:30 AM »
Civiqs tracker, 6/5

Trump job approval: 40/57 (-17)

Alaska: 47/50 (-3)
Arizona: 40/57 (-17)
Colorado: 36/61 (-25)
Florida: 45/52 (-7)
Georgia: 44/53 (-9)
Iowa: 45/52 (-7)
Kansas: 49/48 (+1)
Michigan: 41/56 (-15)
Minnesota: 37/60 (-23)
Nevada: 37/60 (-23)
New Hampshire: 37/59 (-22)
New Mexico: 44/53 (-9)
North Carolina: 43/54 (-11)
Ohio: 45/53 (-8)
Pennsylvania: 42/54 (-12)
Texas: 47/50 (-3)
Virginia: 39/58 (-19)
Wisconsin: 43/54 (-11)

https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #141 on: June 10, 2020, 10:41:30 AM »
Nice to see Gallup back to reality now.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #142 on: June 10, 2020, 12:10:39 PM »
Quote from: Donald Trump’s Toupée on June 10, 2020, 11:24:27 AM
Polls lag by up to a week.

Since all those bad polls were released, the riots and violence has stopped, and we got an excellent May jobs report. What exactly do you expect for the polls coming up and into recovery summer? (Rhetorical question, they will go up....).

Anyone who thinks Trump has lost the election has no clue to either how polls work and/or about elections in general.

YouGov literally just polled June 7-9 (Sunday-Tuesday), days after the jobs report and as protests subside. Biden's lead actually jumped week to week, Biden's favorability went up, Trump's approval among RV went down.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #143 on: June 15, 2020, 07:14:49 PM »
Trump's approval continues to crater on 538.

It's now at 40.8/55.1 (-14.3)
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #144 on: June 30, 2020, 04:39:18 PM »
Damn - Morning Consult (6/24-6/28) has him at 36/58. Is -22 the lowest ever recorded for MC?

https://assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2020/06/30154501/2006121_crosstabs_INTERNET_SERVICES_Adults_v1_LM.pdf
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #145 on: July 04, 2020, 12:49:47 PM »
Civiqs approval tracker - 7/1

National: 41/55 (-14)

Alaska: 47/50 (-3)
Arizona: 42/54 (-12)
Colorado: 36/60 (-24)
Florida: 44/52 (-8)
Georgia: 44/52 (-8)
Iowa: 45/52 (-7)
Kansas: 50/46 (+4)
Maine: 36/61 (-25)
Michigan: 41/55 (-14)
Minnesota: 38/59 (-21)
Montana: 48/49 (-1)
Nevada: 37/59 (-22)
New Hampshire: 36/59 (-23)
New Mexico: 42/54 (-12)
North Carolina: 44/53 (-9)
Ohio: 46/51 (-5)
Pennsylvania: 43/53 (-10)
South Carolina: 50/47 (+3)
Texas: 48/49 (-1)
Virginia: 39/57 (-18)
Wisconsin: 44/53 (-9)

Those Montana, Kansas, Alaska, South Carolina, Texas #s *eye emoji*
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #146 on: July 04, 2020, 08:54:24 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on July 04, 2020, 04:33:17 PM
With these numbers, Georgia would be the first state to flip, as it counts its votes unusually fast. It was a fairly quick call for McCain in 2008 even if it was fairly close.

But that is a nitpick. 

IDK, judging by their counting this year, might be the opposite
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #147 on: July 06, 2020, 05:36:24 AM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on July 05, 2020, 05:53:58 PM
Quote from: wbrocks67 on July 04, 2020, 12:49:47 PM
Civiqs approval tracker - 7/1

National: 41/55 (-14)

Alaska: 47/50 (-3)
Arizona: 42/54 (-12)
Colorado: 36/60 (-24)
Florida: 44/52 (-8)
Georgia: 44/52 (-8)
Iowa: 45/52 (-7)
Kansas: 50/46 (+4)
Maine: 36/61 (-25)
Michigan: 41/55 (-14)
Minnesota: 38/59 (-21)
Montana: 48/49 (-1)
Nevada: 37/59 (-22)
New Hampshire: 36/59 (-23)
New Mexico: 42/54 (-12)
North Carolina: 44/53 (-9)
Ohio: 46/51 (-5)
Pennsylvania: 43/53 (-10)
South Carolina: 50/47 (+3)
Texas: 48/49 (-1)
Virginia: 39/57 (-18)
Wisconsin: 44/53 (-9)

Those Montana, Kansas, Alaska, South Carolina, Texas #s *eye emoji*

Got a link?

https://civiqs.com/results/approve_president_trump?uncertainty=true&annotations=true&zoomIn=true

Smiley
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #148 on: July 12, 2020, 07:03:01 PM »
Quote from: #Klobmentum on July 12, 2020, 03:29:09 PM
Quote from: VARepublican on July 12, 2020, 03:07:39 PM
RMG Research/Scott Rasmussen
July 9-11
1200 RV

Approve 44 (+5)
Disapprove 53 (-5)

Strongly approve 28 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 46 (-1)

https://scottrasmussen.com/president-trump-job-approval-up-to-44/


I dislike when pollsters try and find reasoning behind why their weekly poll had a huge swing. Sometimes weekly polls are just noisy, it doesn't have to be a "response to the media criticism of the president".

Well, Scott Rasmussen seems hack-ish so it doesn't surprise me.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #149 on: July 14, 2020, 05:54:47 AM »

When you're nearly negative approval in *Missouri*, a Trump +19 state...
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