KY-Sen 2022: Charles Booker in

[KaiserDave]

Cool guy, zero chance

[KaiserDave]

Booker won't win but would do better than McGrift. I say go for it. We tried the centrist Dem strategy of running Republicans to  beat Republicans and it doesn't work, not unless the math has genuinely turned to favor Democrats (i.e. Colorado) in which case a more progressive candidate could have won anyway.

Not always true, especially in the case of Manchin. And while Donnelly, Bredesen, and McCaskill all lost, they dramatically over performed their states partisan leans.

The actual policy of Democratic candidates doesn't matter so much, it only really matters as it relates to messaging.

Moderates (think Manchin, Peterson, Klobuchar) and progressives (think Cartwright, Brown, Schweitzer) can both dramatically over perform partisan lean in their states. Messaging matters far more than actual policies.

And moderates (think McGrath, Braley, Christy Smith, Feltes) and progressives (think Kara Eastman, Zuckerman, Gina Ortiz Jones) can both pathetically flop and fail.

[KaiserDave]

Safe R -> Likely R just without the McGrath amounts of money contesting the race.

Stop. Unless you're being sarcastic, this race is Safe R, period.

Oh I don't think there's any conceivable scenario in which Rand loses, but I think Booker could do better than McGrath for sure and possibly better than Grimes in '14/Gray in '16 (40-42%) but his ceiling probably no higher than maybe 44% at best.

Booker would certainly get less than 40%.

If democrats nominate him I could see Paul getting a larger margin of victory than any other republican senatorial candidate got over the past 2 decades.

So true
Pragmatic Moderate Obama-Lunsford-Conway-Obama-Grimes-Clinton-Gray-Biden-McGrath voters don't like spooky scary socialists like Charles Booker!

[KaiserDave]

Safe R -> Likely R just without the McGrath amounts of money contesting the race.

Stop. Unless you're being sarcastic, this race is Safe R, period.

Oh I don't think there's any conceivable scenario in which Rand loses, but I think Booker could do better than McGrath for sure and possibly better than Grimes in '14/Gray in '16 (40-42%) but his ceiling probably no higher than maybe 44% at best.

Booker would certainly get less than 40%.

If democrats nominate him I could see Paul getting a larger margin of victory than any other republican senatorial candidate got over the past 2 decades.

So true
Pragmatic Moderate Obama-Lunsford-Conway-Obama-Grimes-Clinton-Gray-Biden-McGrath voters don't like spooky scary socialists like Charles Booker!

Do you understand that Obama/Lunsford/Conway/Obama/Grimes/Clinton/Gray/Biden/McGrath voters represent at the best 1/3 of the KY electorate ?

Biden literally got more than the Democrat against McConnell in 2002 (who lost Louisville ahaha ) so I'd reread your own posts if I were you.

[KaiserDave]

Booker should primary Yarmuth

no