51 days left, 51 EV prizes, A Bagel Analysis (user search)
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  51 days left, 51 EV prizes, A Bagel Analysis (search mode)
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Author Topic: 51 days left, 51 EV prizes, A Bagel Analysis  (Read 12777 times)
KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,649
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« on: October 20, 2020, 06:35:33 PM »
What do you anticipate Biden to get in Lackawanna?
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,649
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2020, 06:41:13 PM »
Quote from: Co-Chair Bagel23 on October 20, 2020, 06:37:37 PM
Quote from: KaiserDave on October 20, 2020, 06:35:33 PM
What do you anticipate Biden to get in Lackawanna?

53-45 on the more bearish side? What do you think? I'd trust you more on that.

I'm a bit more bullish. Hillary got 50%, and I think Joe will be looking at Kerry numbers (countywide, not necessarily on a local level), I see Joe hitting 55% on the average night, 52% on a bad night, 58% if the 413 map materializes.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,649
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #2 on: October 22, 2020, 06:58:35 PM »
Another superb analysis from Comrade Bagel.

I am a bit more bullish on the margin in South Carolina however. I think Trump wins by 7-8.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,649
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P
« Reply #3 on: November 01, 2020, 06:15:52 PM »
Chances of Monogalia going to Joe?
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