KY, MS etc. Results Thread (user search)
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  KY, MS etc. Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: KY, MS etc. Results Thread  (Read 47125 times)
KaiserDave
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*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« on: November 05, 2019, 09:00:22 PM »

Wow, I am very very wrong and I thank the people of Kentucky for proving me so.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2019, 09:03:30 PM »

Wow, I am very very wrong and I thank the people of Kentucky for proving me so.

Dude, take a chill pill.

How can I! Kentucky just elected a Democrat! And as a Democrat who loves election nights, the answer is a definite no.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2019, 09:04:52 PM »

Well, speaking as someone who really didn't think it was possible for Beshear to win, I'll eat some humble pie. I was desd wrong about this race, and I'm thrilled that (it looks like) Kentucky gave Bevin the boot. People can quote my old posts and laugh at them to their heart's content. I deserve it. Congrats to the people who predicted Beshear would win, and I'll remember this when making predictions in the future.

It just goes to show, like I’ve been trying to say ever since I signed up for this site specifically to respond to the “Bevin is inevitable” circlejerk: You can talk about national trends and partisan leans and crap all day from afar, but it doesn’t mean s—t unless you take into account unique factors relating to individual states. In this case, two MAJOR factors that led me to predict a Beshear win were the fact that Kentucky has a huge discrepancy between how it votes in national and state elections (especially governor) and Bevin was VERY unpopular. Things I knew particularly well being born and raised in this state. The number of people who just ignored these critical factors and predicted landslides for Bevin, as if you could just treat him as a substitute for Trump and apply 2016 trends, was staggering. Elections don’t take place in a vacuum!

I for one apologize for my blindness in this regard. This is certainly a distinct situation.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2019, 09:25:19 PM »

Never thought I'd see it. I tip my cap to those who did.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2019, 09:58:11 PM »


But GOP picked up the AG and SoS spots and Bevin is the most unpopular governor in the country so is it really THAT much of a win?

Yes, we just won a governorship in Kentucky.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2019, 09:59:19 PM »



Sounds like myself, Xing, and IceSpear were advising them. And other atlas posters who thought Bevin was inevitable.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2019, 10:00:36 PM »


But GOP picked up the AG and SoS spots and Bevin is the most unpopular governor in the country so is it really THAT much of a win?
GOP still has a net +1 in statewide positions.
Yes, we just won a governorship in Kentucky.

Doesn't matter all that much to me in the grand scheme of things. This overall is a win.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2019, 10:02:52 PM »



Sounds like myself, Xing, and IceSpear were advising them. And other atlas posters who thought Bevin was inevitable.

That's got to be the classiest way I've ever heard anyone eat crow before. Wink
I'm more than happy to do so.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2019, 10:06:27 PM »

God-Emperor Beshear declaring victory.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2019, 10:08:39 PM »

CNN and the NYTimes are still refusing to call the race. Cuomo keeps parroting that CNN has 'their own standards' which is bizarre given that the 100% of results are in.

They obviously expected Beshear to lose, and so did most other mainstream media outlets. It reminds of how in 2016, the networks waited until Trump was already giving his victory speech to declare him as the winner of the election.

MSNBC called it however.
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2019, 10:09:51 PM »

CNN calls it
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KaiserDave
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,665
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -5.39

P

« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2019, 10:19:30 PM »

God-Emperor Beshear declaring victory.

And giving a hell of a Pro-Union and Pro-Education and Teaching program, along with cops and firefighters, etc....

Excellent
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