NC GOV 2024 - Stein (D) vs Robinson (R)

[SnowLabrador]

Robinson makes Mastriano look moderate. Unfortunately I'm less confident that North Carolina will reject him. It all depends on the top of the ticket...

[SnowLabrador]

Change Research/Carolina Forward (left wing organization) has poll out today showing Robinson leading Stein by 3. In line with some other polls showing a tight race or Robinson leading -- PPP had Robinson up two in March and an R pollster had Stein and Robinson tied in January.

Confirms that this is sadly Tilt R. How many people in North Carolina are going to vote for Trump, but think Robinson is a bit too much?

[SnowLabrador]

Given that Trump is favored in North Carolina, it's likely a good move by Robinson to tie himself to the former President. The state's voters already elected Robinson to statewide office. The leopards are going to have a veritable feast.

[SnowLabrador]

This doesn't matter, electorally speaking.

[SnowLabrador]

https://twitter.com/davidmdrucker/status/1714584168900776234?s=46&t=-r8JGlJn...

I don't see it. Robinson has enough institutional support already I think he wins no matter what.

The general election too. North Carolina is still a red state.

[SnowLabrador]

I don't think this will move the needle much in the primary. Tillis is basically persona non grata with the GOP base in North Carolina now, and I expect him to retire after two terms like Pat Toomey did. Unlike Toomey, he'll almost certainly be replaced by another Republican in 2026.