So, Biden's approval has been around 50-50 in several NH polls, and the recent VA poll that came out does make me think Biden's approval is lower than the polls indicate, which makes sense given Americans hate the government, generally. Anyways, this has all of the makings of a Lean R race, unpopular incumbent who is almost at 50% disapproval, popular incumbent Governor, and a president whose approval rating does seem to be lower than one would expect, at least in New Hampshire. Lean R honestly, and easily the easiest GOP pickup opportunity.
Eh, or the polls are off. Shaheen just won by like 15% and her approval is +1? Doesn't jive either.
Do you really just assume that every poll that's good for Democrats must be accurate and that any with even a slightly favorable result for Republicans is junk? Come on.
You honestly believe that someone who just won by 15% has a +1 approval 8 months after the election? That's just common sense. Doesn't matter who it is, red or blue.
To be fair, Corky Messner was a very weak opponent.