IA-SEN 2022: Grassley vs Franken

[SnowLabrador]

Theresa Greenfield lost by 7 points despite leading in most polls. Iowa is gone for Democrats, full stop. Safe R even if Grassley retires.

[SnowLabrador]

Who would win a Feenstra v Hinson primary?

In my opinion, Feenstra. His district has more Republican voters than does Hinson's.

[SnowLabrador]

There's literally no way this flips. Republican voters don't care about scandals when it comes to their own politicians.

[SnowLabrador]

He tested positive for the virus.

https://twitter.com/MadelainePisani/status/1328831527464169474

Not a fan of him, but I hope he makes a speedy recovery. That being said, no matter what happens to Grassley, Safe R. We couldn't even beat Ernst.

[SnowLabrador]

Reportedly Grassley is considering running for re-election even though he'll be 89 on Election Day of 2022. Whether or not Grassley retires, this is Safe R no matter what.

[SnowLabrador]

If Chuck Grassley votes to convict, does that hurt his grandsons’s chances?

Only in the primary.

[SnowLabrador]

https://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2021/01/15/iowa-cindy-axne-doesnt-rule-out-2022-senate-governor-run-campaign-democrats/4177132001/

I mean, she's going to lose either way. The question is if she wants to lose her House seat or lose in a bid for Senate.

[SnowLabrador]

Not the kind of number you raise when you intend to run again
https://twitter.com/JamesArkin/status/1382861127512653826?s=20

I think Grassley is trying to freeze the field as long as possible so Pat Grassley’s opponents have less time to build name recognition, fundraise, and recruit a team of experienced political operatives to run their campaigns.

That's a possibility. Also, I love the new thread title.

[SnowLabrador]

I've said this before and I'll say it again, I am sick of the Finkenauer memes. How could she beat Chuck Grassley when she couldn't even beat Ashley Hinson?

[SnowLabrador]

Ashley Hinson would be a good gop recruit

She'd probably win by a larger margin than most, but this is Safe R regardless of who the Republican and Democratic candidates are.

[SnowLabrador]

This must be a joke, is it not?

[SnowLabrador]

Finkenauer will be crushed by Grassley, like all of his prior opponents, and assuming that he runs again-which it seems like he is going to at this point. The only question is whether or not she will manage to hold him under 60%.

Thank you for saying what needs to be said. The memes need to stop.

[SnowLabrador]

Finkenauer will be crushed by Grassley, like all of his prior opponents, and assuming that he runs again-which it seems like he is going to at this point. The only question is whether or not she will manage to hold him under 60%.

Thank you for saying what needs to be said. The memes need to stop.

Why? It's not like there's much else to discuss about this race.

The primary.

Yes. Either the primary or no megathread at all, megathreads are for competitive races.

[SnowLabrador]

Why would she think this race is winnable when Iowa voted for Trump by more than her a congressional district she could not win.

Thank you for saying what needs to be said. Finkenauer is a sacrificial lamb.

[SnowLabrador]

Finkenauer has no chance of winning even if Grassley retires. We need to stop pretending this race is competitive.

[SnowLabrador]

I'd say 70/30 in favor of him running.

[SnowLabrador]

Grassley will run again IMO. It's funny, besides his first victory he's never gotten under 60% (60.1% in 2016.) I wonder if he finally will this time?

I think so. I wouldn't be surprised if he fell down to 55-58% of the vote this time.

It's possible. He is subject to polarization just like any other politician.