Scandal in the Wind 2023. George Santos gets Sashayed

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What time is the vote expected?

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311 in favor, 114 against and 2 present.

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I would like to see the roll call of who were the handful of dems voting Present or No. Cause Menendez was a Aye, so lets see whose an accelerationist.

Al Green apparently voted present.

Btw, nearly half the Republican conference voted to expel him.

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Cope and seethe.

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Don't let the door hit you on the way out, Felicia.  Does this mean there will be a special election to fill this seat and spare it from another day of embarrassment?

Yes, probably in February, but there won't be primaries and the local party chairs will pick the nominees. I trust the Nassau GOP (who have been on a major hot streak otherwise) has learned their lesson about properly vetting their candidates.

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https://twitter.com/Olivia_Beavers/status/1730610897050079516
https://twitter.com/JakeSherman/status/1730592922477691052

Ell. Oh. Ell.

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Suozzi might be slightly favored initially, but he definitely should not take it for granted. I think the Republican trend on Long Island is very real and not just a byproduct of Zeldin's strong campaign/home region effect.

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Suozzi might be slightly favored initially, but he definitely should not take it for granted. I think the Republican trend on Long Island is very real and not just a byproduct of Zeldin's strong campaign/home region effect.

Any Democrat would beat any Republican in a special election in that seat by 20 points.

I don't think Republicans would ever win it again for another 10-15 years given that Democrats will gerrymander it hard.

Biden only won it by 8. And a Gerrymander might not happen or even be as strong as the Hochulmander was.

The average overperformance of Democrats is 10 points, that gives them even odds they win it by 18.

It's why Democrats wanted to get rid of Santos with a Special Election.

Democratic overperformance is not universal. Pretty much without exception, Nassau (and Suffolk) Democrats have done horribly since Biden took office.

[Roll Roons]

Suozzi might be slightly favored initially, but he definitely should not take it for granted. I think the Republican trend on Long Island is very real and not just a byproduct of Zeldin's strong campaign/home region effect.

Any Democrat would beat any Republican in a special election in that seat by 20 points.

I don't think Republicans would ever win it again for another 10-15 years given that Democrats will gerrymander it hard.

Biden only won it by 8. And a Gerrymander might not happen or even be as strong as the Hochulmander was.

The average overperformance of Democrats is 10 points, that gives them even odds they win it by 18.

It's why Democrats wanted to get rid of Santos with a Special Election.

Democratic overperformance is not universal. Pretty much without exception, Nassau (and Suffolk) Democrats have done horribly since Biden took office.

This will be an obscure special on a random Tuesday, not a presidential or even midterm electorate.

It won't be "obscure". In fact, it will almost certainly get a lot of media coverage. As far as turnout goes, 2021 and 2023 had just county and municipal offices on the ballot. There were no statewide, legislative or congressional races on the ballot and there were no major initiative or referendum in either year. The turnout in this race will at least match, and probably exceed, that in the odd years.

[Roll Roons]

Suozzi might be slightly favored initially, but he definitely should not take it for granted. I think the Republican trend on Long Island is very real and not just a byproduct of Zeldin's strong campaign/home region effect.

Any Democrat would beat any Republican in a special election in that seat by 20 points.

I don't think Republicans would ever win it again for another 10-15 years given that Democrats will gerrymander it hard.

Biden only won it by 8. And a Gerrymander might not happen or even be as strong as the Hochulmander was.

The average overperformance of Democrats is 10 points, that gives them even odds they win it by 18.

It's why Democrats wanted to get rid of Santos with a Special Election.

Democratic overperformance is not universal. Pretty much without exception, Nassau (and Suffolk) Democrats have done horribly since Biden took office.

This will be an obscure special on a random Tuesday, not a presidential or even midterm electorate.

It won't be "obscure". In fact, it will almost certainly get a lot of media coverage. As far as turnout goes, 2021 and 2023 had just county and municipal offices on the ballot. There were no statewide, legislative or congressional races on the ballot and there were no major initiative or referendum in either year. The turnout in this race will at least match, and probably exceed, that in the odd years.

Ok which day is the special ? Don't cheat by searching it on the internet.

It hasn’t been scheduled yet, but sometime in February.

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https://twitter.com/RepNikema/status/1730638543192567964
Nikema Williams on why she was one of two Democrats who voted against expelling him. I am legitimately stupider for having read this.

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https://twitter.com/MrSantosNY/status/1731435367130075638

Presumably Sapraicone will reject the endorsement, but I feel like this can't bode well for his chances of being chosen as the nominee.

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When are we expecting the Republican nominee to be announced?

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https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/1734320812348338516