In what states does current growth and demographic changes favor Republicans?

[Roll Roons]

Florida, Florida, Florida. Think about all those counties in the Central and Southwest Florida that are magnets for conservative retirees. That's why the state has become so difficult for Democrats, although I think it's still within reach if they get their s**t together.

[Roll Roons]

This would be my general map

I may put NJ in neutral - the GOP benefits from the explosive growth of the Orthodox Jewish population in Ocean County.

[Roll Roons]

Iowa is a strong D trend?

The fastest growing counties are all either blue (Polk, Johnson, Linn, Story) or trending that way (Dallas), while a lot of the rural areas are shrinking.

The state has turned red because Democrats used to rely on rural strength that's largely collapsed. I doubt it'll be as Republican as Idaho or anything, but they likely haven't hit rock bottom in a lot of rural areas yet.