USA 2020 Census Results Thread (Release: Today, 26 April)

[Roll Roons]

So I guess the biggest question is Alabama's 7th vs New York's 26th. Any other possible surprises to look out for?

[Roll Roons]

It seems today that all you see...

[Roll Roons]

NJ growing 6% is also ... unexpected.

9.3 million vs. 8.9 million expected.

Ocean County baby!

[Roll Roons]

Also it's also a real shame about IL. Chicago really is a wonderful city with so much to offer, but the state is just so badly governed.

[Roll Roons]

Ten largest states, ranked (change since 2010)

1. california
2. texas
3. florida (+1)
4. new york (-1)
5. pennsylvania (+1)
6. illinois (-1)
7. ohio
8. georgia (+1)
9. north carolina (+1)
10. michigan (-2)

Bottom ten

50. wyoming
49. vermont
48. alaska (-1)
47. north dakota (+1)
46. south dakota
45. delaware
44. montana
43. rhode island
42. maine (-1)
41. new hampshire (+1)
40. hawaii

DC would be 49/51, up from 50/51

New to the one million club
Montana (1.08 mil)
next up: Delaware (10K away)

New to the ten million club
Georgia (10.7mil)
North Carolina (10.5mil)
Michigan (10.1mil)
next up: New Jersey (800k away)

That means Biden and Trump each won 5 of the bottom 10 states. So much for muh Senate bias.

[Roll Roons]

I actually wonder if Orthodox Jews had something to do with NY and NJ growing more than expected.

[Roll Roons]

I'm not sure why people think these numbers will result in dems losing less seats in redistricting. You can still do 10-4 GA, 11-3 NC, 26-12 TX, 20-8 FL, 13-2 OH, 9-0 TN and so on. You just have to shift things with populations changes but you can still draw out dem incumbents and put them in safe R seats.

9-0 TN isn't possible. Even though Steve Cohen is white, his district is over 60% black and VRA protected.

[Roll Roons]

"Shrinking America" is almost exclusively trending right

"Growing America" is overwhelmingly trending left.

Flashback to 2004 when something like 97 of the country’s 100 fastest-growing counties voted for George W. Bush, and 1 of the 3 was Clark County, Nev. What does it say that things have changed so dramatically?

The fastest growing counties are always Republican since the fastest growing counties are all exurban which tend to vote heavily Republican on average.

In 2012, Romney won 85/100 of the fastest growing counties, Trump carried 93/100.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/24/85-of-the-100-fastest-growing-counties-voted-for-mitt-romney-in-2012/


https://www.lifezette.com/2017/03/93-of-americas-100-fastest-growing-counties-went-trump/

Though my guess is that at least a few were Trump-Biden counties. Hays and Williamson in Texas come to mind.