2020 Census and Redistricting: Kentucky

[Roll Roons]

Tried by hand at a 6R-0D map:
https://davesredistricting.org/join/38bf842a-7982-4f94-87f4-cf873d72e11f

Jefferson County is now split in half between KY-02 and KY-03; obviously the former gets much bluer and the latter gets much redder. Both of the Louisville crack districts were around Trump +12 in 2016 - a tough lift for Democrats, but not impossible in a good year.

KY-06 gets slightly redder to Trump +16, as it loses Frankfort to KY-04 and picks up rural territory to spare from KY-05.

KY-01, KY-04 and KY-05 generally don't change much, and all are still deep red. KY-05 includes everyone's favorite county.

I doubt Biden won any districts, though there's a good chance he got KY-02, KY-03 and KY-06 into single digits. Beshear almost certainly won those three.

[Roll Roons]

Redistricting still won't make this congressional district competitive for GOP | Opinion

The old “Best of Luck to You” vapors are back. According to Republican state lawmakers I have spoken with, when their 2022 redistricting bill is released, it will feature no move, as in none, to make our 3rd Congressional District here in Louisville competitive in next year’s election – or in the next five elections. To use former Sen. Williams’ parlance, a deal has apparently been cut to make the districts of Kentucky’s five incumbent GOP U.S. House members in the 1st, 2nd, 4th, 5th and 6th Districts even more impregnable. To accomplish this goal, it is said, the current boundaries of the 3rd District will be left more or less intact.

Kentucky going 5-1 unless something very unusual happens

So KY is going to end up being the one multi-district small state that doesn't go off the deep end.

NE didn't really go off the deep end and I have a feeling KS won't do so either.