MD-OpinionWorks: Biden +32

[Roll Roons]

Eger to see just how high Biden's vote % will be here.  Hillary got 60.3% in 2016.

I think he'll get between 63% and 65%, while Trump is stuck in the low 30s. That said, huge freedom state.

The Hogan number is absolutely insane.

He's amazing.

Digging down, his net approval is +59 with Democrats, +53 with blacks, +48 with 18-35, +59 with women, +58 with bachelor's degrees, and +56 with postgrad. Maybe polarization won't last forever after all.

[Roll Roons]

Eger to see just how high Biden's vote % will be here.  Hillary got 60.3% in 2016.

I think he'll get between 63% and 65%, while Trump is stuck in the low 30s. That said, huge freedom state.

The Hogan number is absolutely insane.

He's amazing.

Digging down, his net approval is +59 with Democrats, +53 with blacks, +48 with 18-35, +59 with women, +58 with bachelor's degrees, and +56 with postgrad. Maybe polarization won't last forever after all.

Larry Hogan for Senate 2022?

I really hope national Republicans can convince him to run for Senate in 2022. Yes, I’m aware that he almost certainly wouldn’t win, but it would at least expand the battleground (which is very D-friendly as it is) and force Democrats to spend big there. Only going on the offensive in NH won’t cut it for Republicans with that map.

Hogan will most likely run for president in 2024. But the Republican Party is never going to nominate him. Even if Trump loses in a landslide this November.

Sadly, you're probably right. But that won't stop me from going to work on his campaign.