How do you win California as a Republican? (user search)
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  How do you win California as a Republican? (search mode)
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Author Topic: How do you win California as a Republican?  (Read 1257 times)
Roll Roons
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« on: August 22, 2020, 10:52:55 PM »

For a Senate race, I think a top-two lockout fluke is really the only way.

Imagine this. Biden wins. Newsom only appoints a placeholder to Harris' seat and decides to let the race unfold on its own. Alex Padilla, Xavier Becerra, Katie Porter, Ro Khanna, Eric Swalwell, Eric Garcetti and London Breed all run, but so do a couple unknown Republicans. With the Democratic field so split, Republicans manage to snag both of the top two spots in the primary.

Otherwise, I just don't see how it's currently possible. Maybe a Charlie Baker-type Republican would have a small chance against a really terrible Democrat (someone worse than Martha Coakley), but the state is just so inelastically partisan. I'm 23, and I think I'll see it in my lifetime, but coalitions and trends would have to change.
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Roll Roons
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Posts: 10,099
United States


« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2020, 12:07:52 PM »

Run two republicans where democrats have a huge crowded field
IF allen did better and newsom did worse their was a possibility of a Cox-Allen Runoff in 2018 which would have been awful lol

That is at the state, not the federal, level. CA is much more winnable at the state level for Republicans - just look at Poizner's performance in 2018.

Even then, Poizner ran as an independent, not a Republican. And he still lost to a s***ty, corrupt Democrat. Maybe he could have won in a less hostile environment, but Republicans couldn't even win any statewide races in 2010 or 2014.
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