Let's talk about Texas in 2020

[Roll Roons]

I’m gonna say no. Obviously the state isn’t quite as impossibly red as it used to be, but it requires a HUGE investment on Biden’s part in terms of time and money. Beto could afford it because he was only running a statewide campaign, but Biden will also have to focus on Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Florida, North Carolina, etc. All of those are still more likely to go D than Texas, and it wouldn’t be worth it if Biden bets the farm on Texas and gains a couple points there but falls just short in the others.

[Roll Roons]

I think Beto hit the ceiling for at least one or two cycles. Cruz was hated in a way that Trump isn't in TX. I think it'll be within 2-3 points.

This seems right.  Beto/Cruz seems like the best case scenario for Democrats right now.  The Dems had a charismatic candidate and Ted Cruz is basically the worst human being alive.  So I don't see how Biden outperforms Beto even with some additional minority turnout.

I've met Cruz several times, and he's awkward, but actually quite nice and not that arrogant when you talk to him. Overall, he seems like a much better person than Trump.